Marta Kostyuk vs Qinwen ZhengPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk
#11 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 3–5
🇨🇳Qinwen Zheng
#121 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
5wMarta Kostyuk and Qinwen Zheng have met 3 times since 2023; Qinwen Zheng leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Zheng leads 2–0. Across all meetings Kostyuk has taken 3 sets to Zheng's 5. Their most recent meeting: Qinwen Zheng won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kostyuk | Zheng | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marta Kostyuk | Qinwen Zheng | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 27/38 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 5/11 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 16/49 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 21/35 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 10/14 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 31/34 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 27/34 | 42% | 5/12 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kostyuk 0, Zheng 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Zheng
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marta Kostyuk.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 11, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Apr 18, 2024
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · 2nd Round
Aug 8, 2023
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kostyuk | Zheng | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marta Kostyuk | Qinwen Zheng | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 9/15 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 7/15 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 60% | 6/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kostyuk | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.55 | 1.60 |
| ROI % | +3.3% | -45.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.49u | -4.51u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kostyuk | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Kostyuk and Zheng posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Kostyuk | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Sloane Stephens | W 75 75 | W 63 62 |
| Sofia Kenin | W 46 63 75 | W 16 63 63 |
| Madison Keys | W 63 61 | W 46 62 64 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 76 62 | W 75 61 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 46 | L 64 46 36 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 36 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Madison Keys
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Katherine Sebov
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 9
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Elena Micic
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Athens Open - Athens · 1st Round
Jul 13
Katerina Siniakova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Clara Tauson
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Solana Sierra
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 22
Talia Gibson
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 24–49 matches
| Metric | Kostyuk | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 78% | 50% |
| Sets won | 71% | 48% |
| Games won | 59% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kostyuk | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kostyuk | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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