Marta Kostyuk vs Qinwen ZhengPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk
#10 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
4w3 meetings · sets 3–5
🇨🇳Qinwen Zheng
#23 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
7Title4Marta Kostyuk and Qinwen Zheng have met 3 times since 2023; Qinwen Zheng leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Zheng leads 2–0. Across all meetings Kostyuk has taken 3 sets to Zheng's 5. Their most recent meeting: Qinwen Zheng won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kostyuk | Zheng | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marta Kostyuk | Qinwen Zheng | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 26/36 | 42% | 10/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 4/10 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/46 | 53% | 20/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 20/34 | 26% | 7/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 30/33 | 74% | 17/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 26/33 | 43% | 10/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kostyuk 0, Zheng 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Zheng
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marta Kostyuk.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 11, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Apr 18, 2024
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · 2nd Round
Aug 8, 2023
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kostyuk | Zheng | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marta Kostyuk | Qinwen Zheng | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 5 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kostyuk | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–4 | 14–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.49 | 1.86 |
| ROI % | -11.8% | +39.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.41u | +7.08u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kostyuk | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | UKR | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zheng has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Kostyuk's 67%).
| Opponent | Kostyuk | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Mirra Andreeva | W 46 60 62 | W 75 64 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 63 26 62 | W 63 76 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 46 | L 63 16 46 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 63 16 26 | W 75 63 |
| Madison Keys | W 63 61 | W 16 76 75 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 61 63 | W 64 26 61 |
| Sloane Stephens | W 61 75 | W 63 62 |
| Sofia Kenin | W 46 63 75 | W 16 63 63 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 36 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Liudmila Samsonova
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Ekaterina Alexandrova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sloane Stephens
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Storm Hunter
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Mirra Andreeva
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 11
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Marie Bouzkova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Anna Kalinskaya
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Han Shi
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–46 matches
| Metric | Kostyuk | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 78% | 63% |
| Sets won | 72% | 56% |
| Games won | 59% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kostyuk | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kostyuk | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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