Marta Kostyuk vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk
#10 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
4w3 meetings · sets 2–6
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#58 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Marta Kostyuk and Paula Badosa have met 3 times since 2022; Paula Badosa leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Badosa leads 2–0. Badosa has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Kostyuk has taken 2 sets to Badosa's 6. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kostyuk | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marta Kostyuk | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 26/36 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 4/10 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/46 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 20/34 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 30/33 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 26/33 | 83% | 20/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kostyuk 0, Badosa 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 17, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 14, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Jan 21, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kostyuk | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marta Kostyuk | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kostyuk | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–4 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.49 | 1.72 |
| ROI % | -11.8% | -3.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.41u | -0.52u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kostyuk | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 10,936 mi · 17,599 km |
| Route | UKR | BRA → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Badosa's 13%).
| Opponent | Kostyuk | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Nadia Podoroska | W 61 62 | L 36 46 |
| Linda Noskova | L 57 75 46 | L 16 36 |
| Coco Gauff | L 26 26 | L 46 67 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 61 63 | W 61 62 |
| Emma Navarro | W 62 46 61 | L 64 36 57 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 63 26 62 | L |
| Oksana Selekhmeteva | W 62 63 | L 46 46 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 46 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Liudmila Samsonova
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Ekaterina Alexandrova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sloane Stephens
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Storm Hunter
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Daria Kasatkina
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Sep 19
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Jazmin Ortenzi
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Justina Mikulskyte
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Daria Kasatkina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–46 matches
| Metric | Kostyuk | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 78% | 60% |
| Sets won | 72% | 59% |
| Games won | 59% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kostyuk | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kostyuk | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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