Marta Kostyuk vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk
#11 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 2–6
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#83 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
5wMarta Kostyuk and Paula Badosa have met 3 times since 2022; Paula Badosa leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Badosa leads 2–0. Badosa has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Kostyuk has taken 2 sets to Badosa's 6. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kostyuk | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marta Kostyuk | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 27/38 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 5/11 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 16/49 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 21/35 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 10/14 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 31/34 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 27/34 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kostyuk 0, Badosa 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 17, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 14, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Jan 21, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kostyuk | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marta Kostyuk | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 9/15 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 7/15 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kostyuk | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.55 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | +3.3% | +18.2% |
| Units P/L | +0.49u | +3.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kostyuk | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Badosa's 38%).
| Opponent | Kostyuk | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 26 26 | W 16 63 62 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 61 63 | W 61 62 |
| Linda Noskova | L 46 46 | L 16 36 |
| Emma Navarro | W 62 46 61 | L 64 36 57 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 63 26 62 | L 75 26 57 |
| Oksana Selekhmeteva | W 62 63 | L 46 46 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 46 | L 36 26 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | W 64 62 | W 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Madison Keys
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Katherine Sebov
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 9
Mayar Sherif
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Panna Udvardy
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Katarzyna Kawa
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 22
Tamara Zidansek
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Semifinals
Jul 18
Panna Udvardy
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alevtina Ibragimova
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anhelina Kalinina
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Simona Waltert
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–49 matches
| Metric | Kostyuk | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 78% | 59% |
| Sets won | 71% | 59% |
| Games won | 59% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kostyuk | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kostyuk | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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