Maria Sakkari vs Sorana CirsteaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฌ๐ทMaria Sakkari
#33 ยท 30 yrs ยท Right-Handed
4 meetings ยท sets 2โ7

๐ท๐ดSorana Cirstea
#17 ยท 36 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Maria Sakkari and Sorana Cirstea have met 4 times since 2017; Sorana Cirstea leads 3โ1. Their first meeting came at Istanbul in 2017 on clay. On hard courts Cirstea leads 2โ1. Across all meetings Sakkari has taken 2 sets to Cirstea's 7. Their most recent meeting: Sorana Cirstea won at Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sakkari | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maria Sakkari | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 76% | 29/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 5/22 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 13/43 | 32% | 18/56 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 9/20 | 71% | 27/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 11/22 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 5/13 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 17/22 | 92% | 34/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 13/22 | 78% | 29/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sakkari 0, Cirstea 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sakkari
๐ค Servebot
Cirstea
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ค Servebot vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 7, 2024
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Feb 14, 2018
Doha
H Hard ยท Round of 64
Apr 27, 2017
Istanbul
C Clay ยท Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sakkari | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maria Sakkari | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Sakkari | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ6 | 4โ5 |
| Avg odds | 2.26 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | -8.9% | -38.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.25u | -3.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sakkari | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 411 mi ยท 662 km | 411 mi ยท 662 km |
| Route | CAN โ POL | CAN โ POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Sakkari has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Cirstea's 20%).
| Opponent | Sakkari | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | L 64 16 16 | L 36 26 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 62 57 61 | W 64 64 |
| Coco Gauff | L 16 46 | L 46 36 |
| Linda Noskova | W 75 76 | L 62 36 67 |
| Emma Raducanu | W 63 36 61 | L 46 26 |
| Tatjana Maria | L 36 36 | W 62 60 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 06 46 | L 06 36 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 63 46 16 | L 26 36 |
| Naomi Osaka | W 64 62 | L 36 64 26 |
| Leylah Fernandez | L 67 46 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 17
Kamilla Rakhimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Zeynep Sonmez
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens ยท Final
Jul 19
Alina Korneeva
Athens Open - Athens ยท Semifinals
Jul 18
Alycia Parks
Athens Open - Athens ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Harriet Dart
Athens Open - Athens ยท 2nd Round
Jul 15
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 19
Nikola Bartunkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kimberly Birrell
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Sara Bejlek
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Emma Raducanu
The HSBC Championships - London ยท 2nd Round
Jun 12
Maddison Inglis
The HSBC Championships - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 43โ56 matches
| Metric | Sakkari | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 68% |
| Sets won | 47% | 65% |
| Games won | 49% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sakkari | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sakkari | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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