Maria Sakkari vs Sorana CirsteaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฌ๐ทMaria Sakkari
#35 ยท 30 yrs ยท Right-Handed
4 meetings ยท sets 2โ7

๐ท๐ดSorana Cirstea
#16 ยท 36 yrs ยท Right-Handed
5wMaria Sakkari and Sorana Cirstea have met 4 times since 2017; Sorana Cirstea leads 3โ1. Their first meeting came at Istanbul in 2017 on clay. On hard courts Cirstea leads 2โ1. Across all meetings Sakkari has taken 2 sets to Cirstea's 7. Their most recent meeting: Sorana Cirstea won at Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sakkari | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maria Sakkari | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 16/24 | 78% | 32/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | 30% | 17/57 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 12/23 | 75% | 30/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 11/22 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 93% | 37/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 16/25 | 80% | 32/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sakkari 0, Cirstea 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sakkari
๐ค Servebot
Cirstea
๐ The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The ๐ The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs ๐ค Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sorana Cirstea.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 7, 2024
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Feb 14, 2018
Doha
H Hard ยท Round of 64
Apr 27, 2017
Istanbul
C Clay ยท Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sakkari | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maria Sakkari | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 7/15 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Sakkari | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9โ6 | 4โ3 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 1.98 |
| ROI % | -16.5% | -20.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.47u | -1.40u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sakkari | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 5 | โ |
| Distance | 2,779 mi ยท 4,472 km | โ |
| Route | SGP โ ROU | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Sakkari has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Cirstea's 33%).
| Opponent | Sakkari | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Paolini | L 16 26 | W 63 63 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 62 57 61 | W 64 64 |
| Coco Gauff | L 16 46 | L 46 36 |
| Linda Noskova | W 75 76 | L 62 36 67 |
| Emma Raducanu | W 63 36 61 | L 46 26 |
| Tatjana Maria | L 36 36 | W 62 60 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 06 46 | L 06 36 |
| Naomi Osaka | W 64 62 | L 36 64 26 |
| Leylah Fernandez | L 67 46 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 5
Storm Hunter
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Nao Hibino
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท 2nd Round
Sep 24
Linda Fruhvirtova
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 4
Robin Montgomery
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 17
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York ยท 4th Round
Sep 7
Jasmine Paolini
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 4
Diane Parry
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 2
Julia Grabher
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 19
Anna Kalinskaya
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 17
Nikola Bartunkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 46โ57 matches
| Metric | Sakkari | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 72% |
| Sets won | 51% | 69% |
| Games won | 51% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sakkari | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sakkari | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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