Maria Sakkari vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇷Maria Sakkari
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 4–5
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#83 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
5wMaria Sakkari and Paula Badosa have met 4 times since 2021; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at WTA Finals - Guadalajara in 2021 on hard. On clay courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Sakkari has taken 4 sets to Badosa's 5. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sakkari | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maria Sakkari | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 5/22 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 13/43 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 9/20 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 11/22 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 5/13 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 17/22 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 13/22 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sakkari 1, Badosa 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 1, 2026
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 1, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 4th Round
Mar 18, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 13, 2021
WTA Finals - Guadalajara
H Hard · Round Robin
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sakkari | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maria Sakkari | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sakkari | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.26 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | -8.9% | +18.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.25u | +3.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sakkari | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sakkari has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Badosa's 25%).
| Opponent | Sakkari | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 16 46 | W 16 63 62 |
| Linda Noskova | W 75 76 | L 16 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 16 | L 36 26 |
| Lilli Tagger | W 57 63 60 | L 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Kamilla Rakhimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Zeynep Sonmez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens · Final
Jul 19
Alina Korneeva
Athens Open - Athens · Semifinals
Jul 18
Alycia Parks
Athens Open - Athens · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Harriet Dart
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Mayar Sherif
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Panna Udvardy
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Katarzyna Kawa
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 22
Tamara Zidansek
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Semifinals
Jul 18
Panna Udvardy
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alevtina Ibragimova
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anhelina Kalinina
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Simona Waltert
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–43 matches
| Metric | Sakkari | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 59% |
| Sets won | 47% | 59% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sakkari | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sakkari | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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