Maria Sakkari vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇷Maria Sakkari
#35 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 4–5
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#58 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Maria Sakkari and Paula Badosa have met 4 times since 2021; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at WTA Finals - Guadalajara in 2021 on hard. On clay courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Sakkari has taken 4 sets to Badosa's 5. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sakkari | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maria Sakkari | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 16/24 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 12/23 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 11/22 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 16/25 | 83% | 20/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sakkari 1, Badosa 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 1, 2026
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 1, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 4th Round
Mar 18, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 13, 2021
WTA Finals - Guadalajara
H Hard · Round Robin
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sakkari | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maria Sakkari | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 7/14 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sakkari | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | -19.2% | -4.9% |
| Units P/L | -2.69u | -0.64u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sakkari | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 6 |
| Distance | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km | 10,936 mi · 17,599 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU | BRA → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sakkari has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Badosa's 17%).
| Opponent | Sakkari | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Elina Svitolina | L 46 57 | L |
| Daria Kasatkina | L 67 46 | W 46 76 64 |
| Coco Gauff | L 16 46 | L 46 67 |
| Linda Noskova | W 75 76 | L 16 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 16 | L 36 26 |
| Lilli Tagger | W 57 63 60 | L 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Storm Hunter
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Nao Hibino
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Linda Fruhvirtova
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 22
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Robin Montgomery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Daria Kasatkina
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Sep 19
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Jazmin Ortenzi
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Justina Mikulskyte
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Daria Kasatkina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–46 matches
| Metric | Sakkari | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 60% |
| Sets won | 51% | 59% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sakkari | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sakkari | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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