Mackenzie McDonald vs Reilly OpelkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mackenzie McDonald and Reilly Opelka have met 4 times since 2016; Reilly Opelka leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Charlottesville in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Opelka leads 2–1. Opelka has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings McDonald has taken 3 sets to Opelka's 6. Their most recent meeting: Reilly Opelka won at Infosys Hall of Fame Open - Newport (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | McDonald | Opelka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mackenzie McDonald | Reilly Opelka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 17/25 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 6/25 | 25% | 3/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 14/50 | 25% | 6/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 15/30 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 5/17 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 7/17 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 17/23 | 69% | 9/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (McDonald 1, Opelka 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Opelka
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Reilly Opelka.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 18, 2024
Infosys Hall of Fame Open - Newport
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Feb 19, 2020
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 9, 2019
Dallas
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 5, 2016
Charlottesville
H Hard · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McDonald | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | - |
| ROI % | -24.7% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.72u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | McDonald | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CAN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both McDonald and Opelka posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | McDonald | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 36 63 62 | W 64 63 64 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 64 36 63 | W 76 67 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Adam Walton
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Patrick Kypson
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Roberto Carballes Baena
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Christopher O'Connell
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Shintaro Mochizuki
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 16
Federico Cina
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Ethan Quinn
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 13
Taylor Fritz
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Barcelona · Round of 64
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Tokyo · Round of 32
Mar 22
Jack Draper
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Nuno Borges
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 19
Ben Shelton
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–53 matches
| Metric | McDonald | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 48% |
| Sets won | 48% | 51% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | McDonald | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | McDonald | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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