Luciano Darderi vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luciano Darderi and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 1 time since 2025; Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 1–0. Across all meetings Darderi has taken 1 sets to Tsitsipas's 2. Their most recent meeting: Stefanos Tsitsipas won at Terra Wortmann Open - Halle (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
- Level
- ATP Masters 1000
- Round
- 2nd Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 9 · 10:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.93 or longer, Luciano Darderi has won 8 of 34 (24%). That is level with the 26% the price implied.
At 1.39 or shorter, Stefanos Tsitsipas has won 170 of 208 (82%). The price implied 75%, so Stefanos Tsitsipas has beaten it by 7 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Luciano Darderi, ranked 21st, meets Stefanos Tsitsipas in the second round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters on October 9th on hard court. Tsitsipas, currently 43rd, arrives after five matches in two weeks and won his most recent outing.
Tsitsipas leads their head-to-head 1-0 from their only prior meeting. Darderi has won three of his last five matches but lost his most recent; Tsitsipas has won eight of his last ten, a sustained run built across a heavy schedule.
Darderi attacks with heavy groundstrokes and carries a 55% record on hard courts recently. Tsitsipas relies on his serve as his primary weapon and holds a 65% hard court record from the same sample. The match asks whether Darderi's aggressive baseline play can disrupt Tsitsipas' service dominance or if the latter's current form sustains him through.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Darderi | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luciano Darderi | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 16/29 | 74% | 23/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 9/23 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 22/52 | 27% | 13/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 12/28 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 10/19 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 10/19 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 22/27 | 90% | 27/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 16/27 | 77% | 23/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Darderi 0, Tsitsipas 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Darderi
💥 Big Hitter
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,927 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 16, 2025
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Darderi | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luciano Darderi | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 100% | 21/21 |
| 3 or more | 79% | 15/19 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 5 or more | 53% | 10/19 | 81% | 17/21 |
| 10 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 19% | 4/21 |
| 15 or more | 11% | 2/19 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Darderi | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–7 | 18–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.09 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | +10.3% | +23.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.07u | +5.60u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Darderi | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tsitsipas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (38% vs Darderi's 13%).
| Opponent | Darderi | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Casper Ruud | W 76 63 | L 76 67 67 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 36 63 510 | W 46 63 64 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 46 26 | W 64 63 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 16 06 | L 46 67 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 06 36 | L 46 63 36 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 36 | L 36 67 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 26 36 | L 57 46 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | L 36 36 | W 46 63 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kyrian Jacquet
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Casper Ruud
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 8
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Harry Wendelken
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Botic van de Zandschulp
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Mattia Bellucci
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Kimmer Coppejans
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Valentin Vacherot
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yoshihito Nishioka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alex Molcan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Norbert Gombos
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–63 matches
| Metric | Darderi | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 61% |
| Sets won | 55% | 59% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Darderi | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Darderi | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 0 | 1 |