Luca Nardi vs Rio NoguchiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luca Nardi and Rio Noguchi have met 2 times since 2023; Luca Nardi leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Pune Challenger in 2023 on hard. Nardi has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Nardi has taken 4 sets to Noguchi's 0. Their most recent meeting: Luca Nardi won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nardi | Noguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Nardi | Rio Noguchi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 13/17 | 59% | 22/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 65% | 13/20 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 17/37 | 37% | 25/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 10/21 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 10/15 | 65% | 20/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 8/22 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 65% | 13/20 | 82% | 27/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 13/20 | 67% | 22/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nardi 2, Noguchi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nardi
🏹 Frontrunner
Noguchi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,152 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 22, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 3, 2023
Pune Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nardi | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 2.06 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -35.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | -5.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nardi | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 754 mi · 1,213 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Nardi and Noguchi posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Nardi | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Alexis Galarneau | L 46 16 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Federico Cina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Andrea Guerrieri
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 11
Otto Virtanen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Rio Noguchi
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Remy Bertola
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Giles Hussey
Lexus Nottingham Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Oscar Weightman
Lexus Nottingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Alexandre Muller
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Dalibor Svrcina
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Masamichi Imamura
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Colin Sinclair
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Kaichi Uchida
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Omar Jasika
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Rigele Te
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–67 matches
| Metric | Nardi | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 55% |
| Sets won | 51% | 53% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nardi | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nardi | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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