Luca Nardi vs Rio NoguchiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luca Nardi and Rio Noguchi have met 2 times since 2023; Luca Nardi leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Pune Challenger in 2023 on hard. Nardi has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Nardi has taken 4 sets to Noguchi's 0. Their most recent meeting: Luca Nardi won at Wimbledon (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nardi | Noguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Nardi | Rio Noguchi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 13/18 | 58% | 19/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 14/22 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 19/40 | 40% | 24/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 10/21 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 11/18 | 68% | 21/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 65% | 13/20 | 77% | 24/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 13/20 | 61% | 19/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nardi 2, Noguchi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nardi
🏹 Frontrunner
Noguchi
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 58% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 329 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Luca Nardi.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 22, 2026
Wimbledon
G Grass · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 3, 2023
Pune Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nardi | Noguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Nardi | Rio Noguchi | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nardi | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 1.93 |
| ROI % | -38.1% | -6.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.43u | -0.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Nardi and Noguchi posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Nardi | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Alexis Galarneau | L 46 16 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrea Guerrieri
Umag
Jul 11
Otto Virtanen
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Rio Noguchi
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Remy Bertola
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Giles Hussey
Lexus Nottingham Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Oscar Weightman
Lexus Nottingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Jacob Fearnley
Ilkley Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 10
Remy Bertola
Perugia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Charles Broom
Winnipeg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Keegan Rice
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Braden Shick
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Mark Lajal
Lincoln Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Lincoln Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Charles Broom
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 13
Andre Ilagan
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex Martinez
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–60 matches
| Metric | Nardi | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 55% |
| Sets won | 50% | 53% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nardi | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nardi | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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