Lorenzo Sonego vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฎ๐นLorenzo Sonego
#91 ยท 31 yrs ยท R
4 meetings ยท sets 1โ8

๐ฌ๐ทStefanos Tsitsipas
#53 ยท 28 yrs ยท R
Lorenzo Sonego and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 4 times since 2021; Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 4โ0. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Tsitsipas leads 3โ0. Tsitsipas has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Sonego has taken 1 sets to Tsitsipas's 8. Their most recent meeting: Stefanos Tsitsipas won at Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sonego | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Sonego | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 9/16 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 6/20 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 13/36 | 27% | 11/41 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 7/18 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 8/18 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 12/17 | 92% | 23/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 9/17 | 76% | 19/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sonego 0, Tsitsipas 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sonego
๐ค Servebot
Tsitsipas
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Lorenzo Sonego and Stefanos Tsitsipas are ๐ค Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 24, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard ยท 1st Round
May 16, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay ยท 3rd Round
Aug 19, 2021
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Mar 30, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard ยท 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sonego | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Sonego | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 5/15 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Sonego | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ8 | 9โ6 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | -18.3% | -8.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.92u | -1.28u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sonego | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Tsitsipas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Sonego's 25%).
| Opponent | Sonego | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 76 61 | L 36 67 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 67 67 | W 64 67 63 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 36 36 | W 64 64 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 64 36 46 67 | W 64 75 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 26 36 | L 36 67 |
| Arthur Fery | W 64 62 | W 61 76 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 76 06 36 | L 46 57 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 63 67 46 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 1st Round
Aug 24
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 17
Juncheng Shang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท 2nd Round
Jul 15
Joel Schwaerzler
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท 1st Round
Jul 13
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 3rd Round
Aug 27
Jenson Brooksby
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 25
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Valentin Royer
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Martin Damm
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex de Minaur
Citi Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 29
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท Final
Jul 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 43โ46 matches
| Metric | Sonego | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 57% |
| Sets won | 46% | 57% |
| Games won | 49% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sonego | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sonego | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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