Lorenzo Musetti vs Yunchaokete BuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Musetti and Yunchaokete Bu have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Beijing in 2024 on hard. Across all meetings Musetti has taken 2 sets to Bu's 3. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Musetti | Bu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Musetti | Yunchaokete Bu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 4/17 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 12/46 | 27% | 9/33 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 20/34 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 30% | 3/10 | 100% | 3/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 7/15 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 26/29 | 87% | 20/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 70% | 16/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Musetti 0, Bu 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Bu
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 7, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 64
Sep 29, 2024
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Musetti | Bu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Musetti | Yunchaokete Bu | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | 1–0 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| ROI % | -18.1% | +120.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.45u | +1.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Musetti | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Bu's 0%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Coleman Wong | W 64 64 | L 67 67 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 36 75 | L 46 06 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 75 76 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Hugo Dellien
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Clement Tabur
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Chris Rodesch
Lexus Ilkley Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Otto Virtanen
Lexus Birmingham Open · Final
Jun 7
Arthur Fery
Lexus Birmingham Open · Semifinals
Jun 6
Mark Lajal
Lexus Birmingham Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Billy Harris
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 4
Lloyd Harris
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–51 matches
| Metric | Musetti | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 64% |
| Sets won | 61% | 61% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Musetti | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Musetti | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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