Lorenzo Musetti vs Tallon GriekspoorPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Musetti and Tallon Griekspoor have met 3 times since 2020; Tallon Griekspoor leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Griekspoor leads 2–0. Across all meetings Musetti has taken 3 sets to Griekspoor's 4. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Musetti | Griekspoor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Musetti | Tallon Griekspoor | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 4/17 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 12/46 | 41% | 16/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 20/34 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 30% | 3/10 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 7/15 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 26/29 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 57% | 12/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Musetti 1, Griekspoor 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Griekspoor
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 26, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Feb 12, 2024
ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 21, 2020
Australian Open
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Musetti | Griekspoor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Musetti | Tallon Griekspoor | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -18.1% | +16.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.45u | +1.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Musetti | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Musetti and Griekspoor posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Musetti | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 46 57 | W 67 62 64 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 63 63 64 | W 76 75 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 36 62 67 | L 67 64 46 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 64 64 | W 64 64 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 64 76 | L 36 67 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 63 64 | L 46 57 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 67 57 | L 64 67 46 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 67 75 64 | W 75 76 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 67 36 | W 63 76 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 46 26 | L 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Matteo Arnaldi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Alexander Zverev
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Lorenzo Sonego
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Edas Butvilas
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Luca Van Assche
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
James Duckworth
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–52 matches
| Metric | Musetti | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 43% |
| Sets won | 62% | 46% |
| Games won | 54% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Musetti | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Musetti | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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