Lorenzo Musetti vs Roman SafiullinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Musetti and Roman Safiullin have met 4 times since 2019; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Bergamo in 2019 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Musetti has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Musetti has taken 4 sets to Safiullin's 5. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Musetti | Safiullin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Musetti | Roman Safiullin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 4/17 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 12/46 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 20/34 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 30% | 3/10 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 7/15 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 26/29 | 91% | 20/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 68% | 15/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Musetti 1, Safiullin 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Safiullin
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 7, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 24, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 25, 2023
Chengdu Open - Chengdu
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 6, 2019
Bergamo
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Musetti | Safiullin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Musetti | Roman Safiullin | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 8% | 1/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 2.47 |
| ROI % | -18.1% | +13.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.45u | +2.19u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Musetti | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 1,107 mi · 1,781 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Safiullin's 43%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 64 76 | L 46 36 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 46 76 64 | W 63 64 |
| Jaime Faria | W 75 62 | W 46 64 76 |
| Novak Djokovic | L 64 36 57 | L 67 36 63 36 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 67 75 64 | W 64 67 36 63 76 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 64 64 | L 57 76 67 |
| Casper Ruud | L 36 16 | L 26 67 75 60 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 25
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Stan Wawrinka
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Sebastian Ofner
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Joao Fonseca
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Botic van de Zandschulp
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Jerome Kym
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–52 matches
| Metric | Musetti | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 69% |
| Sets won | 62% | 61% |
| Games won | 54% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Musetti | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Musetti | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
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