Lorenzo Musetti vs Roman SafiullinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Musetti and Roman Safiullin have met 4 times since 2019; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Bergamo in 2019 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Musetti has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Musetti has taken 4 sets to Safiullin's 5. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Musetti | Safiullin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Musetti | Roman Safiullin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 16/22 | 62% | 21/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 4/16 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 10/38 | 40% | 19/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 15/27 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 3/9 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 5/13 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 93% | 26/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 16/22 | 75% | 21/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Musetti 1, Safiullin 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Safiullin
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Lorenzo Musetti and Roman Safiullin are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 7, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 24, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 25, 2023
Chengdu Open - Chengdu
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 6, 2019
Bergamo
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Musetti | Safiullin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Musetti | Roman Safiullin | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 8/11 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | -28.7% | -10.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.16u | -1.61u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Musetti | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 10 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Safiullin's 22%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 76 64 | L 67 36 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 67 75 64 | L 26 63 46 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 46 16 | L 46 46 46 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 64 76 | L 46 36 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 46 76 64 | W 63 64 |
| Jaime Faria | W 75 62 | W 46 64 76 |
| Novak Djokovic | L | L 67 36 63 36 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 64 64 | L 57 76 67 |
| Casper Ruud | L 36 16 | L 26 67 75 60 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Arthur Fery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Francisco Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Rinky Hijikata
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Alexis Galarneau
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Flavio Cobolli
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Bu Yunchaokete
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–55 matches
| Metric | Musetti | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 69% |
| Sets won | 59% | 61% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Musetti | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Musetti | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
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