Lorenzo Musetti vs Rafael JodarPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Musetti and Rafael Jodar have met 2 times since 2026; Rafael Jodar leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Citi Open - Washington in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Jodar leads 2–0. Jodar has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Musetti has taken 1 sets to Jodar's 4. Their most recent meeting: Rafael Jodar won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Musetti | Jodar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Musetti | Rafael Jodar | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 16/22 | 77% | 40/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 4/16 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 10/38 | 24% | 16/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 15/27 | 63% | 34/54 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 3/9 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 5/13 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 96% | 46/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 16/22 | 83% | 40/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Musetti 0, Jodar 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Jodar
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lorenzo Musetti.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 7, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 1, 2026
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Musetti | Jodar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Musetti | Rafael Jodar | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 8/11 | 59% | 10/17 |
| 5 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 12–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.51 |
| ROI % | -28.7% | +7.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.16u | +1.21u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Musetti | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km |
| Route | CHN | GBR → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Jodar has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Musetti's 60%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Bublik | L 67 36 | W 62 63 |
| Arthur Fery | W 63 63 75 | W |
| Jaime Faria | W 75 62 | W 61 64 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 36 36 | W 63 63 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 63 64 | W 46 61 63 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 62 75 64 | L 67 46 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 63 57 63 | W 61 62 |
| Arthur Fils | L 36 46 | W 76 63 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | W | W 61 46 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 46 57 | L 67 16 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Arthur Fery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Bublik
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Cristian Garin
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Bu Yunchaokete
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–80 matches
| Metric | Musetti | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 76% |
| Sets won | 59% | 67% |
| Games won | 52% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Musetti | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Musetti | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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