Lorenzo Musetti vs Rafael JodarPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Musetti and Rafael Jodar have met 2 times since 2026; Rafael Jodar leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Citi Open - Washington in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Jodar leads 2–0. Jodar has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Musetti has taken 1 sets to Jodar's 4. Their most recent meeting: Rafael Jodar won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Musetti | Jodar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Musetti | Rafael Jodar | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 79% | 41/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 4/17 | 25% | 4/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 12/46 | 22% | 15/68 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 20/34 | 64% | 35/55 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 30% | 3/10 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 7/15 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 26/29 | 96% | 47/49 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 84% | 41/49 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Musetti 0, Jodar 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Jodar
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 790 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lorenzo Musetti.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 7, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jul 31, 2026
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Musetti | Jodar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Musetti | Rafael Jodar | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 47% | 8/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 12% | 2/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 1.67 |
| ROI % | -18.1% | +2.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.45u | +0.37u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Musetti | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 10 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Musetti and Jodar posted a 70% win rate.
| Opponent | Musetti | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Jaime Faria | W 75 62 | W 61 64 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 63 62 20 | L 64 67 36 |
| Michael Zheng | W 61 63 | L 46 57 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 36 62 67 | W 62 61 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 36 36 | W 63 63 |
| Nicolas Mejia | W 76 62 | W 60 62 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 63 64 | W 46 61 63 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 62 75 64 | L 67 46 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 63 57 63 | W 61 62 |
| Arthur Fils | L 36 46 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Jiri Lehecka
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Lorenzo Musetti
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Corentin Moutet
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Taylor Fritz
Citi Open - Washington · Final
Aug 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–81 matches
| Metric | Musetti | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 75% |
| Sets won | 62% | 67% |
| Games won | 54% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Musetti | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Musetti | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.