Lorenzo Musetti vs Nikoloz BasilashviliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Musetti and Nikoloz Basilashvili have met 4 times since 2022; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Mercedes Cup - Stuttgart in 2022 on grass. On grass courts Basilashvili leads 2–0. On hard courts Musetti leads 2–0. Across all meetings Musetti has taken 5 sets to Basilashvili's 5. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at Chengdu Open - Chengdu (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Musetti | Basilashvili | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Musetti | Nikoloz Basilashvili | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 62% | 18/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 4/17 | 21% | 6/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 12/46 | 30% | 17/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 20/34 | 28% | 7/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 30% | 3/10 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 7/15 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 26/29 | 85% | 23/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 67% | 18/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Musetti 2, Basilashvili 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Basilashvili
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 21, 2025
Chengdu Open - Chengdu
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 1, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Nov 2, 2022
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 8, 2022
Mercedes Cup - Stuttgart
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Musetti | Basilashvili | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Musetti | Nikoloz Basilashvili | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 40% | 4/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | 4–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 1.86 |
| ROI % | -18.1% | -30.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.45u | -3.30u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Musetti | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | — |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Basilashvili's 25%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Altmaier | W 64 62 | L 57 46 |
| Nicolas Mejia | W 76 62 | W 06 62 64 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 63 63 64 | W 64 64 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 67 75 64 | L 63 67 26 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 63 64 | L 67 46 |
| Dino Prizmic | W 75 36 62 | L 46 26 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | W 63 61 | L 67 46 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 64 63 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Michael Vrbensky
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Tiago Torres
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Jan Choinski
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Guy Den Ouden
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Arthur Rinderknech
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Vilius Gaubas
Braunschweig Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–57 matches
| Metric | Musetti | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 51% |
| Sets won | 62% | 49% |
| Games won | 54% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Musetti | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Musetti | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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