Lorenzo Musetti vs Nikoloz BasilashviliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Musetti and Nikoloz Basilashvili have met 4 times since 2022; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Mercedes Cup - Stuttgart in 2022 on grass. On grass courts Basilashvili leads 2–0. On hard courts Musetti leads 2–0. Across all meetings Musetti has taken 5 sets to Basilashvili's 5. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at Chengdu Open - Chengdu (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Musetti | Basilashvili | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Musetti | Nikoloz Basilashvili | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 16/22 | 68% | 21/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 4/16 | 25% | 7/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 10/38 | 29% | 17/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 15/27 | 27% | 6/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 3/9 | 66% | 21/32 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 5/13 | 46% | 12/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 84% | 26/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 16/22 | 68% | 21/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Musetti 2, Basilashvili 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Basilashvili
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 21, 2025
Chengdu Open - Chengdu
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 1, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Nov 2, 2022
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 8, 2022
Mercedes Cup - Stuttgart
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Musetti | Basilashvili | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Musetti | Nikoloz Basilashvili | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 8/11 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 5 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -28.7% | -3.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.16u | -0.49u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Musetti | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 10 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Basilashvili's 29%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Jaime Faria | W 75 62 | L 46 46 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 64 62 | L 57 46 |
| Nicolas Mejia | W 76 62 | W 06 62 64 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 63 63 64 | W 64 64 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 67 75 64 | L 63 67 26 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 63 64 | L 67 46 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 64 63 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Arthur Fery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Adrian Mannarino
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Liam Draxl
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Andre Ilagan
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Botic van de Zandschulp
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Miomir Kecmanovic
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–59 matches
| Metric | Musetti | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 53% |
| Sets won | 59% | 51% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Musetti | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Musetti | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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