Lorenzo Musetti vs Moise KouamePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes - Lyon
- Level
- ATP 250
- Round
- 2nd Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 21 · 4:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 3.72 or longer, Moise Kouame has won 3 of 11 (27%). The price implied 20%, so Moise Kouame has beaten it by 7 points.
At 1.28 or shorter, Lorenzo Musetti has won 73 of 86 (85%). The price implied 80%, so Lorenzo Musetti has beaten it by 5 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Lorenzo Musetti and Moise Kouame meet next at the Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes - Lyon on October 21 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Musetti | Kouame | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Musetti | Moise Kouame | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 16/22 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 4/15 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 10/37 | 26% | 15/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 15/26 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 3/9 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 4/11 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 86% | 31/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 16/22 | 72% | 26/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Kouame
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,716 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lorenzo Musetti.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Musetti and Kouame have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Musetti | Kouame | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Musetti | Moise Kouame | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 8/11 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 5 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 46% | 6/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Kouame |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 5–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.72 |
| ROI % | -22.5% | -38.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.70u | -5.02u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Musetti | Kouame |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 5,806 mi · 9,344 km | 6,026 mi · 9,698 km |
| Route | CHN → FRA | CHN → FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Kouame's 33%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Kouame |
|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 63 63 64 | W 76 64 |
| Alexandre Muller | W 62 64 | L 46 06 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 36 36 | L 26 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matteo Arnaldi
Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes - Lyon · 1st Round
Oct 19
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Arthur Fery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Lorenzo Sonego
Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes - Lyon · 1st Round
Oct 19
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Roanne Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 15
Diego Dedura
Roanne Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 13
Adam Walton
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Florent Bax
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Filip Peliwo
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–61 matches
| Metric | Musetti | Kouame |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 61% |
| Sets won | 60% | 58% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |