Lloyd Harris vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lloyd Harris and Sebastian Baez have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Harris has taken 3 sets to Baez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at Cancun Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Harris | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lloyd Harris | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 15/25 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 6/12 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 16/37 | 22% | 13/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 15/31 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 2/6 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 20% | 3/15 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 85% | 29/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 15/23 | 76% | 26/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Harris 0, Baez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Harris
🤖 Servebot
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🎾 All-Court across 752 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lloyd Harris.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 23, 2026
Cancun Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 25, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Harris | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lloyd Harris | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 29% | 6/21 |
| 5 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 10 or more | 46% | 6/13 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Harris | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–4 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.70 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | +1.1% | +8.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.14u | +1.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Harris | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 9 | 9 |
| Distance | 1,452 mi · 2,337 km | 3,066 mi · 4,934 km |
| Route | USA → MEX | CAN → USA → MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Harris's 50%).
| Opponent | Harris | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hugo Grenier | W 63 63 | W 75 76 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 36 36 | L 57 36 |
| Maxim Mrva | W 63 57 62 | W 64 75 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 67 76 67 | W 76 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Baez
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Vit Kopriva
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Darwin Blanch
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Andre Ilagan
Brownsburg Challenger · Final
Aug 16
Daniel Milavsky
Brownsburg Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 15
Harry Wendelken
Brownsburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Mees Rottgering
Brownsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Andrew Fenty
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 12
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Grigor Dimitrov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–64 matches
| Metric | Harris | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 55% |
| Sets won | 62% | 53% |
| Games won | 55% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Harris | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Harris | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.