Lloyd Harris vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lloyd Harris and Sebastian Baez have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Harris has taken 3 sets to Baez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at Cancun Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Harris | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lloyd Harris | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 24/37 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 60% | 9/15 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 22/52 | 23% | 14/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 23/44 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 10/22 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 28/33 | 83% | 29/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 24/33 | 74% | 26/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Harris 0, Baez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Harris
🤖 Servebot
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🎾 All-Court across 703 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lloyd Harris.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 23, 2026
Cancun Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 25, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Harris | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lloyd Harris | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 97% | 30/31 | 68% | 13/19 |
| 3 or more | 97% | 30/31 | 32% | 6/19 |
| 5 or more | 84% | 26/31 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 10 or more | 52% | 16/31 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 16% | 5/31 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 7% | 2/31 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Harris | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 25–7 | 8–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 2.43 |
| ROI % | +13.1% | -17.4% |
| Units P/L | +4.19u | -2.95u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Harris | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 14 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 8 shared opponents, both Harris and Baez posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Harris | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Valentin Vacherot | W 64 76 | L 46 67 |
| Chak Pong Marco Lam | L 46 63 26 | W 64 60 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 16 63 76 | W 75 63 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 67 46 | L 64 06 36 |
| Hugo Grenier | W 63 63 | W 75 76 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 36 36 | L 57 36 |
| Maxim Mrva | W 63 57 62 | W 64 75 |
| Jaime Faria | L | L 57 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Alex Bolt
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Mattia Bellucci
Jingshan Challenger · Final
Oct 4
Alex Bolt
Jingshan Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Andre Ilagan
Jingshan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Luka Pavlovic
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Alexis Galarneau
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Marcos Giron
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 23
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–65 matches
| Metric | Harris | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 54% |
| Sets won | 65% | 52% |
| Games won | 55% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Harris | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Harris | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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