Leylah Fernandez vs Shelby RogersPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#32 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
4 meetings · sets 4–7
🇺🇸Shelby Rogers
Unranked · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
105wLeylah Fernandez and Shelby Rogers have met 4 times since 2020; Shelby Rogers leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at The Top Seed Open - Lexington in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Rogers leads 3–1. Across all meetings Fernandez has taken 4 sets to Rogers's 7. Their most recent meeting: Shelby Rogers won at Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fernandez | Rogers | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Leylah Fernandez | Shelby Rogers | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 17/25 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 8/26 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/51 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 16/33 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 5/17 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 21/28 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 17/28 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fernandez 0, Rogers 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fernandez
💥 Big Hitter
Rogers
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 7, 2023
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 14, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Oct 12, 2021
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Aug 13, 2020
The Top Seed Open - Lexington
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | - |
| ROI % | -8.7% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.87u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Renata Zarazua
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Magda Linette
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Xi Yao Wang
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 23
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 27
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 6
Robin Montgomery
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Qinwen Zheng
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 9
Lisa Pigato
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 7
Marketa Vondrousova
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 2nd Round
Apr 26
Shuai Zhang
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 24
Veronika Kudermetova
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston · 2nd Round
Apr 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–51 matches
| Metric | Fernandez | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | - |
| Sets won | 49% | - |
| Games won | 52% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fernandez | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fernandez | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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