Leylah Fernandez vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#32 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
3 meetings · sets 2–5
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#83 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
5wLeylah Fernandez and Paula Badosa have met 3 times since 2022; Paula Badosa leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2022 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Fernandez has taken 2 sets to Badosa's 5. Their most recent meeting: Leylah Fernandez won at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fernandez | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Leylah Fernandez | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 17/25 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 8/26 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/51 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 16/33 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 5/17 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 21/28 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 17/28 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fernandez 0, Badosa 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fernandez
💥 Big Hitter
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Leylah Fernandez and Paula Badosa are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 13, 2024
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 5, 2023
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 15, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fernandez | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Leylah Fernandez | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 55% | 6/11 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | -8.7% | +18.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.87u | +3.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fernandez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Badosa's 38%).
| Opponent | Fernandez | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 46 64 57 | W 16 63 62 |
| Iva Jovic | W 36 63 62 | L 26 16 |
| Julia Grabher | W 62 63 | L 67 64 06 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 76 46 67 | L 36 26 |
| Eva Lys | W 64 61 | L 62 57 46 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 76 64 | W 63 64 |
| Oksana Selekhmeteva | W 76 36 61 | L 46 46 |
| Katerina Siniakova | L 75 46 67 | W 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Renata Zarazua
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Magda Linette
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Xi Yao Wang
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 23
Mayar Sherif
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Panna Udvardy
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Katarzyna Kawa
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 22
Tamara Zidansek
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Semifinals
Jul 18
Panna Udvardy
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alevtina Ibragimova
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anhelina Kalinina
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Simona Waltert
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–51 matches
| Metric | Fernandez | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 59% |
| Sets won | 49% | 59% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fernandez | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fernandez | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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