Leylah Fernandez vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#25 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
Title3 meetings · sets 2–5
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#58 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Leylah Fernandez and Paula Badosa have met 3 times since 2022; Paula Badosa leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2022 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Fernandez has taken 2 sets to Badosa's 5. Their most recent meeting: Leylah Fernandez won at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fernandez | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Leylah Fernandez | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 8/26 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 18/58 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 20/40 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 10/18 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 5/17 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 27/34 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 22/34 | 83% | 20/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fernandez 0, Badosa 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fernandez
🤖 Servebot
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 13, 2024
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 5, 2023
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 15, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fernandez | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Leylah Fernandez | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 6/15 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | +32.2% | -4.9% |
| Units P/L | +5.15u | -0.64u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 6 |
| Distance | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km | 10,936 mi · 17,599 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU → CZE | BRA → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fernandez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Badosa's 29%).
| Opponent | Fernandez | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Iva Jovic | W 36 63 62 | L 26 16 |
| Julia Grabher | W 62 63 | L 67 64 06 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 76 46 67 | L 36 26 |
| Eva Lys | W 64 61 | L 62 57 46 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 76 64 | W 63 64 |
| Oksana Selekhmeteva | W 76 36 61 | L 46 46 |
| Katerina Siniakova | L 75 46 67 | W 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Kamilla Rakhimova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Final
Sep 27
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Semifinals
Sep 26
Mirra Andreeva
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Alycia Parks
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Kyoka Okamura
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Daria Kasatkina
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Sep 19
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Jazmin Ortenzi
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Justina Mikulskyte
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Daria Kasatkina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–58 matches
| Metric | Fernandez | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 60% |
| Sets won | 54% | 59% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fernandez | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fernandez | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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