Katie Boulter vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇧Katie Boulter
#60 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 0–2
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#23 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
Katie Boulter and Madison Keys have met 1 time since 2025; Madison Keys leads 1–0. Across all meetings Boulter has taken 0 sets to Keys's 2. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at French Open - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Boulter | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katie Boulter | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 12/20 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 15/40 | 34% | 16/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 10/22 | 59% | 22/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 8/17 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 6/9 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 18/23 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 12/23 | 80% | 24/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Boulter 0, Keys 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Boulter
🤖 Servebot
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 29, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Boulter | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katie Boulter | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 72% | 13/18 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 39% | 7/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 17% | 3/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Boulter | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 13–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.26 | 1.43 |
| ROI % | +3.4% | -5.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.31u | -0.95u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Boulter | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Boulter's 20%).
| Opponent | Boulter | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Linda Noskova | L 36 36 | L 46 67 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | L 63 26 26 | W 61 75 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 16 36 | W 36 62 63 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 76 64 | W 60 61 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 46 46 | L 67 67 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 36 57 | W 64 75 |
| Donna Vekic | L 16 36 | W 62 63 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 63 63 | W 16 62 63 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | L 36 63 46 | W 64 61 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 67 67 | W 60 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Katie Volynets
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Kayla Cross
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Ashlyn Krueger
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Tyra Caterina Grant
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Leylah Fernandez
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 21
Donna Vekic
The HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 13
Elena Rybakina
The HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–47 matches
| Metric | Boulter | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 68% |
| Sets won | 49% | 65% |
| Games won | 50% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Boulter | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Boulter | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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