Katie Boulter vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇧Katie Boulter
#54 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 0–2
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#20 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
6wKatie Boulter and Madison Keys have met 1 time since 2025; Madison Keys leads 1–0. Across all meetings Boulter has taken 0 sets to Keys's 2. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at French Open - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Boulter | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katie Boulter | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 15/42 | 36% | 18/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 11/24 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 7/17 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 19/24 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 13/24 | 78% | 25/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Boulter 0, Keys 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Boulter
💥 Big Hitter
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Katie Boulter and Madison Keys are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 29, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Boulter | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katie Boulter | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Boulter | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 3.03 | 1.40 |
| ROI % | -36.1% | -24.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.89u | -2.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Boulter | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Boulter's 20%).
| Opponent | Boulter | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Karolina Muchova | L 67 16 | W 64 75 |
| Linda Noskova | L 36 36 | L 46 67 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | L 63 26 26 | W 61 75 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 76 64 | W 60 61 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 46 46 | L 67 67 |
| Donna Vekic | L 16 36 | W 62 63 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 63 63 | W 16 62 63 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | L 36 63 46 | W 64 61 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 67 67 | W 60 63 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 06 57 | W 46 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Mai Hontama
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Karolina Muchova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Carol Young Suh Lee
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Katie Volynets
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Kayla Cross
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Ashlyn Krueger
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Anna Bondar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alina Korneeva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–50 matches
| Metric | Boulter | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 68% |
| Sets won | 49% | 65% |
| Games won | 49% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Boulter | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Boulter | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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