Katie Boulter vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇧Katie Boulter
#60 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 5–3
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#32 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
Katie Boulter and Leylah Fernandez have met 3 times since 2024; Katie Boulter leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Billie Jean King Cup, Finals in 2024 on hard. On grass courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Boulter has taken 5 sets to Fernandez's 3. Their most recent meeting: Leylah Fernandez won at Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Boulter | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katie Boulter | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 12/20 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 15/40 | 31% | 16/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 10/22 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 8/17 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 6/9 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 18/23 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 12/23 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Boulter 1, Fernandez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Boulter
🤖 Servebot
Fernandez
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 21, 2026
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass · 1st Round
Jun 9, 2026
The HSBC Championships - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Nov 17, 2024
Billie Jean King Cup, Finals
H Hard · Rubber 2
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Boulter | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katie Boulter | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Boulter | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.26 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | +3.4% | -8.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.31u | -0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Boulter | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fernandez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Boulter's 40%).
| Opponent | Boulter | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | W 75 26 64 | L 76 46 67 |
| Eva Lys | L 46 63 46 | W 64 61 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 46 46 | L 26 26 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 16 | W 64 64 |
| Hailey Baptiste | W 75 57 64 | W 62 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Katie Volynets
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Kayla Cross
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Ashlyn Krueger
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Tyra Caterina Grant
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Leylah Fernandez
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 21
Donna Vekic
The HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 13
Elena Rybakina
The HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Renata Zarazua
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Magda Linette
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Xi Yao Wang
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–51 matches
| Metric | Boulter | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 49% |
| Sets won | 49% | 49% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Boulter | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Boulter | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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