Katie Boulter vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇧Katie Boulter
#54 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 5–3
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#25 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
TitleKatie Boulter and Leylah Fernandez have met 3 times since 2024; Katie Boulter leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Billie Jean King Cup, Finals in 2024 on hard. On grass courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Boulter has taken 5 sets to Fernandez's 3. Their most recent meeting: Leylah Fernandez won at Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Boulter | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katie Boulter | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 15/42 | 31% | 18/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 11/24 | 50% | 20/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 7/17 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 19/24 | 79% | 27/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 13/24 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Boulter 1, Fernandez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Boulter
💥 Big Hitter
Fernandez
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 21, 2026
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass · 1st Round
Jun 9, 2026
The HSBC Championships - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Nov 17, 2024
Billie Jean King Cup, Finals
H Hard · Rubber 2
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Boulter | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katie Boulter | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Boulter | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 3.03 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -36.1% | +32.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.89u | +5.15u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Boulter | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km |
| Route | ROU | SGP → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fernandez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Boulter's 25%).
| Opponent | Boulter | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 46 46 | L 61 46 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 75 26 64 | L 76 46 67 |
| Eva Lys | L 46 63 46 | W 64 61 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 16 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Mai Hontama
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Karolina Muchova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Carol Young Suh Lee
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Katie Volynets
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Kayla Cross
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Ashlyn Krueger
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Kamilla Rakhimova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Final
Sep 27
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Semifinals
Sep 26
Mirra Andreeva
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Alycia Parks
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Kyoka Okamura
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–58 matches
| Metric | Boulter | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 55% |
| Sets won | 49% | 54% |
| Games won | 49% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Boulter | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Boulter | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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