Karolina Muchova vs Venus WilliamsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Karolina Muchova
#7 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
7w2 meetings · sets 4–1
🇺🇸Venus Williams
#611 · 45 yrs · Right-Handed
14Karolina Muchova and Venus Williams have met 2 times since 2020; Karolina Muchova leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Muchova leads 2–0. Muchova has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Muchova has taken 4 sets to Williams's 1. Their most recent meeting: Karolina Muchova won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muchova | Williams | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karolina Muchova | Venus Williams | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 25/39 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 5/13 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 19/52 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 18/33 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 6/8 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 31/34 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 0% | 0/1 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muchova 1, Williams 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muchova
💥 Big Hitter
Williams
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 25, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 1, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muchova | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–2 | 0–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.51 | 4.35 |
| ROI % | +16.3% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.63u | -4.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muchova | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | — | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Williams's 0%).
| Opponent | Muchova | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 62 62 | L 46 16 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 36 26 | L 36 36 |
| Irina Camelia Begu | W 61 61 | L 26 64 67 |
| Ajla Tomljanovic | W 46 61 76 | L 46 16 |
| Magda Linette | W 61 61 | L 46 64 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 11
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 9
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Barbora Krejcikova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Shuai Zhang
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Anastasia Zakharova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · Semifinals
Jun 26
Emiliana Arango
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 2
Anastasia Potapova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Irina Camelia Begu
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 22
Kaitlin Quevedo
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 21
Francesca Jones
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 19
Diane Parry
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Ajla Tomljanovic
ATX Open - Austin · 1st Round
Feb 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 11–52 matches
| Metric | Muchova | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 0% |
| Sets won | 67% | 15% |
| Games won | 55% | 38% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muchova | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muchova | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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