Karolina Muchova vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Karolina Muchova
#7 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 0–2
🇫🇷Varvara Gracheva
#172 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
30wKarolina Muchova and Varvara Gracheva have met 1 time since 2025; Varvara Gracheva leads 1–0. Across all meetings Muchova has taken 0 sets to Gracheva's 2. Their most recent meeting: Varvara Gracheva won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muchova | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karolina Muchova | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 27/41 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 4/13 | 22% | 2/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 18/54 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 20/38 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 8/8 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 33/35 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 27/35 | 44% | 4/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muchova 0, Gracheva 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muchova
🤖 Servebot
Gracheva
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 12, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muchova | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.27 | - |
| ROI % | -10.1% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.71u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muchova | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Gracheva's 29%).
| Opponent | Muchova | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Linda Noskova | L 26 75 36 | W 62 26 75 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 57 16 | L 57 26 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 64 26 64 | L 36 16 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | W 62 64 | W 64 60 |
| Magda Linette | W 61 61 | L 62 26 06 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 36 64 61 | L 67 06 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 63 57 57 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Naomi Osaka
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Liudmila Samsonova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Katie Boulter
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Katie Boulter
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sinja Kraus
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 11
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 16
Magdalena Frech
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Priscilla Hon
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 13
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 2nd Round
Feb 10
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–54 matches
| Metric | Muchova | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 53% |
| Sets won | 68% | 48% |
| Games won | 55% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muchova | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muchova | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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