Karolina Muchova vs Nadia PodoroskaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Karolina Muchova
#7 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–1
🇦🇷Nadia Podoroska
#203 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3w4Karolina Muchova and Nadia Podoroska have met 2 times since 2023; Karolina Muchova leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2023 on clay. Muchova has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Muchova has taken 4 sets to Podoroska's 1. Their most recent meeting: Karolina Muchova won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muchova | Podoroska | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karolina Muchova | Nadia Podoroska | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 27/41 | 72% | 23/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 4/13 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 18/54 | 37% | 16/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 20/38 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 8/8 | 80% | 8/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 33/35 | 87% | 27/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 27/35 | 74% | 23/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muchova 1, Podoroska 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muchova
🤖 Servebot
Podoroska
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,089 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 13, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
May 31, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muchova | Podoroska | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Karolina Muchova | Nadia Podoroska | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 5 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muchova | Podoroska |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.27 | 3.69 |
| ROI % | -10.1% | +36.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.71u | +5.13u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muchova | Podoroska |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Muchova and Podoroska posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Muchova | Podoroska |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | L 26 06 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Naomi Osaka
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Liudmila Samsonova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Katie Boulter
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Katie Boulter
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sinja Kraus
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 11
Kaitlin Quevedo
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Final
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Sep 19
Suzan Lamens
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Eva Lys
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Lucrezia Stefanini
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 15
Anna Blinkova
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Ena Koike
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 1st Round
Sep 8
Iga Swiatek
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–54 matches
| Metric | Muchova | Podoroska |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 74% |
| Sets won | 68% | 70% |
| Games won | 55% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muchova | Podoroska |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muchova | Podoroska |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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