Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios VeraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇵🇪Juan Pablo Varillas
#232 · 30 yrs · R
4w35 meetings · sets 2–8

🇨🇱Tomas Barrios Vera
#144 · 28 yrs · R
5Juan Pablo Varillas and Tomas Barrios Vera have met 5 times since 2016; Tomas Barrios Vera leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Cali in 2016 on clay. On clay courts Vera leads 4–1. Across all meetings Varillas has taken 2 sets to Vera's 8. Their most recent meeting: Tomas Barrios Vera won at Campinas Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pablo Varillas | Barrios Vera | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Pablo Varillas | Tomas Barrios Vera | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 26/36 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 8/27 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 18/63 | 32% | 20/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 6/17 | 50% | 19/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 91% | 10/11 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 10/23 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 92% | 33/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 26/38 | 72% | 26/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pablo Varillas 1, Barrios Vera 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Vera
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,208 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Apr 5, 2025
Campinas Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Jan 30, 2022
Cordoba
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 15, 2021
Santiago 3 Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 26, 2020
Lima Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jul 5, 2016
Cali
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Varillas | Vera | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Pablo Varillas | Tomas Barrios Vera | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Varillas | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 2–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 1.79 |
| ROI % | +49.5% | -68.4% |
| Units P/L | +3.47u | -6.16u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Varillas | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | SMR | MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Vera has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Varillas's 40%).
| Opponent | Varillas | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Jacopo Vasami | W 62 62 | W 63 64 |
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | W 63 76 | L 67 62 26 |
| Emilio Nava | L 36 26 | L 62 46 67 |
| Lautaro Midon | L 67 46 | W 62 62 |
| Murkel Dellien | W 60 75 | L 46 36 |
| Hugo Dellien | L 26 67 | L 46 67 |
| Franco Roncadelli | L 64 26 26 | W 63 63 |
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | W 63 46 63 | W 64 61 |
| Gonzalo Bueno | L 06 57 | W 36 62 64 |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | L 26 67 | W 64 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Timofey Skatov
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Maestrelli
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jacopo Vasami
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Luis Carlos Alvarez
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Bruno Fernandez
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Dylan Dietrich
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Niels Visker
Bunschoten Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Ilia Simakin
Iasi Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Dane Sweeny
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 30
Marco Cecchinato
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Paul Jubb
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Benjamin Bonzi
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–64 matches
| Metric | Varillas | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 56% |
| Sets won | 56% | 56% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Varillas | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 4 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Varillas | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 4 |
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