Juan Pablo Varillas vs Thiago MonteiroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Juan Pablo Varillas and Thiago Monteiro have met 4 times since 2019; Thiago Monteiro leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Santiago in 2019 on clay. On clay courts Monteiro leads 3–1. Monteiro has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Varillas has taken 2 sets to Monteiro's 5. Their most recent meeting: Thiago Monteiro won at Campinas (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pablo Varillas | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Pablo Varillas | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 25/40 | 56% | 19/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 8/28 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 23/68 | 45% | 25/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 29% | 6/21 | 41% | 15/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 25/38 | 59% | 19/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pablo Varillas 1, Monteiro 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Monteiro
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 979 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Thiago Monteiro.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Nov 12, 2021
Campinas
C Clay · Round of 16
Oct 23, 2019
Lima
C Clay · Semifinals
Oct 12, 2019
Santo Domingo
C Clay · Semifinals
Mar 6, 2019
Santiago
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Varillas | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Pablo Varillas | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 3 or more | 53% | 9/17 | 77% | 13/17 |
| 5 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Varillas | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 15–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.12 | 1.64 |
| ROI % | +32.2% | +7.5% |
| Units P/L | +5.79u | +1.66u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Varillas | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 673 mi · 1,083 km |
| Route | ARG | POL → ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Monteiro has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Varillas's 33%).
| Opponent | Varillas | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | W 57 76 63 | W 36 63 64 |
| Diego Dedura | L 46 67 | W 64 62 |
| Franco Agamenone | L 67 26 | L 26 36 |
| Facundo Mena | L | L 57 67 |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | L 36 67 | W 64 64 |
| Pedro Sakamoto | W | W 64 46 64 |
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | W 63 46 63 | L 67 16 |
| Gonzalo Bueno | L 06 57 | L 57 46 |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | L 26 67 | W 61 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Buenos Aires Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Murkel Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Tomas Farjat
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 5
Sep 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Genoa Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Elmer Moller
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Mika Petkovic
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Szczecin Challenger · Final
Sep 20
Marco Trungelliti
Szczecin Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Diego Dedura
Szczecin Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Vitaliy Sachko
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Stefano Travaglia
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Tulln Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–68 matches
| Metric | Varillas | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 62% |
| Sets won | 55% | 58% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Varillas | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Varillas | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
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