Juan Pablo Varillas vs Thiago MonteiroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇪Juan Pablo Varillas
#232 · 30 yrs · R
4w34 meetings · sets 2–5
🇧🇷Thiago Monteiro
#275 · 32 yrs · L
4wJuan Pablo Varillas and Thiago Monteiro have met 4 times since 2019; Thiago Monteiro leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Santiago in 2019 on clay. On clay courts Monteiro leads 3–1. Monteiro has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Varillas has taken 2 sets to Monteiro's 5. Their most recent meeting: Thiago Monteiro won at Campinas (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pablo Varillas | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Pablo Varillas | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 26/36 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 8/27 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 18/63 | 40% | 19/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 6/17 | 40% | 12/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 91% | 10/11 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 10/23 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 26/38 | 64% | 16/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pablo Varillas 1, Monteiro 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Monteiro
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 790 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Thiago Monteiro.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Nov 12, 2021
Campinas
C Clay · Round of 16
Oct 23, 2019
Lima
C Clay · Semifinals
Oct 12, 2019
Santo Domingo
C Clay · Semifinals
Mar 6, 2019
Santiago
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Varillas | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Pablo Varillas | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Varillas | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | +49.5% | -20.0% |
| Units P/L | +3.47u | -1.40u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Varillas | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 562 mi · 905 km |
| Route | SMR | SMR → GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Monteiro has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Varillas's 20%).
| Opponent | Varillas | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Franco Agamenone | L 67 26 | L 26 36 |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | L 36 67 | W 64 64 |
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | W 63 46 63 | L 67 16 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L 46 26 | W 36 63 64 |
| Diego Dedura | L 46 67 | W 76 63 |
| Gonzalo Bueno | L 06 57 | L 57 46 |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | L 26 67 | W 61 62 |
| Daniel Dutra da Silva | W 61 63 | W 64 64 |
| Hugo Dellien | L 26 67 | L 16 36 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 26 36 | L 46 76 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Timofey Skatov
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Maestrelli
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jacopo Vasami
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Luis Carlos Alvarez
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Bruno Fernandez
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Tom Gentzsch
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Vilius Gaubas
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Andrea Pellegrino
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
David Jorda Sanchis
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Philip Henning
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Dylan Dietrich
Gstaad
Jul 12
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Gstaad
Jul 11
Pol Martin Tiffon
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
May 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–63 matches
| Metric | Varillas | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 53% |
| Sets won | 56% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Varillas | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Varillas | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
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