Juan Pablo Varillas vs Santiago Rodriguez TavernaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇵🇪Juan Pablo Varillas
#200 · 30 yrs · R
5 meetings · sets 9–3

🇦🇷Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
#460 · 27 yrs · R
Juan Pablo Varillas and Santiago Rodriguez Taverna have met 5 times since 2021; Juan Pablo Varillas leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Buenos Aires Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Varillas leads 4–1. Varillas has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Varillas has taken 9 sets to Taverna's 3. Their most recent meeting: Juan Pablo Varillas won at Bogota Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pablo Varillas | Rodriguez Taverna | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Pablo Varillas | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 25/40 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 8/28 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 23/68 | 43% | 23/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 29% | 6/21 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 62% | 16/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 84% | 21/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 25/38 | 48% | 12/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pablo Varillas 3, Rodriguez Taverna 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Taverna
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,152 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Nov 27, 2025
Bogota Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 8, 2025
Mexico City Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 15, 2022
Concepcion 2 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Nov 10, 2021
Montevideo Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 21, 2021
Buenos Aires Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Varillas | Taverna | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Pablo Varillas | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 3 or more | 53% | 9/17 | 40% | 4/10 |
| 5 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 30% | 3/10 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Varillas | Taverna |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 7–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.12 | 2.36 |
| ROI % | +32.2% | +24.4% |
| Units P/L | +5.79u | +2.44u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Varillas | Taverna |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 7,475 mi · 12,030 km |
| Route | ARG | POL → ARG |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Varillas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Taverna's 17%).
| Opponent | Varillas | Taverna |
|---|---|---|
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | L 26 67 | L 36 16 |
| Adrian Boitan | W 64 67 63 | L 46 57 |
| Nicolas Mejia | L 46 75 16 | L 67 76 26 |
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | W 63 76 | W 76 76 |
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | W 62 64 | L 46 36 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 26 36 | L 57 76 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Buenos Aires Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Murkel Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Tomas Farjat
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 5
Sep 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Genoa Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Nicolas Ciancaglini
Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Fermin Tenti
Buenos Aires Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Nicolas Bruna
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Robert Strombachs
Szczecin Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Oscar Jose Gutierrez
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Henrique Rocha
Seville Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–68 matches
| Metric | Varillas | Taverna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 51% |
| Sets won | 55% | 48% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Varillas | Taverna |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 4 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Varillas | Taverna |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 4 | 1 |
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