Juan Pablo Varillas vs Santiago Rodriguez TavernaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇪Juan Pablo Varillas
#232 · 30 yrs · R
4w35 meetings · sets 9–3
🇦🇷Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
#430 · 27 yrs · R
7wJuan Pablo Varillas and Santiago Rodriguez Taverna have met 5 times since 2021; Juan Pablo Varillas leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Buenos Aires Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Varillas leads 4–1. Varillas has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Varillas has taken 9 sets to Taverna's 3. Their most recent meeting: Juan Pablo Varillas won at Bogota Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pablo Varillas | Rodriguez Taverna | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Pablo Varillas | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 26/36 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 8/27 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 18/63 | 45% | 22/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 6/17 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 91% | 10/11 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 10/23 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 79% | 19/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 26/38 | 50% | 12/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pablo Varillas 3, Rodriguez Taverna 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Taverna
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 790 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Santiago Rodriguez Taverna.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Nov 27, 2025
Bogota Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 8, 2025
Mexico City Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 15, 2022
Concepcion 2 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Nov 10, 2021
Montevideo Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 21, 2021
Buenos Aires Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Varillas | Taverna | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Pablo Varillas | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 3 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Varillas | Taverna |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 2.28 |
| ROI % | +49.5% | +15.8% |
| Units P/L | +3.47u | +0.95u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Varillas | Taverna |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | SMR | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Varillas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Taverna's 33%).
| Opponent | Varillas | Taverna |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Mejia | L 46 75 16 | L 67 76 26 |
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | W 63 76 | W 76 76 |
| Lucca Guercio | W 63 61 | W 61 61 |
| Hugo Dellien | L 26 67 | L 63 46 16 |
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | W 62 64 | L 46 36 |
| Diego Dedura | L 46 67 | W 64 64 |
| Juan Manuel La Serna | W 26 75 62 | L 67 36 |
| Daniel Dutra da Silva | W 61 63 | L 36 46 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 26 36 | L 57 76 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Timofey Skatov
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Maestrelli
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jacopo Vasami
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Luis Carlos Alvarez
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Bruno Fernandez
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Thiago Cigarran
Piracicaba Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 25
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Asuncion Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Ignacio Parisca Romera
CIT Open · Round of 32
Jun 16
Ignacio Parisca
Asuncion Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
San Miguel de Tucuman Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Karim Bennani
San Miguel de Tucuman Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–63 matches
| Metric | Varillas | Taverna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 47% |
| Sets won | 56% | 48% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Varillas | Taverna |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 4 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Varillas | Taverna |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 4 | 1 |
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