Juan Pablo Varillas vs Nicolas JarryPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇪Juan Pablo Varillas
#232 · 30 yrs · R
4w36 meetings · sets 5–9
🇨🇱Nicolas Jarry
#747 · 30 yrs · R
20wJuan Pablo Varillas and Nicolas Jarry have met 6 times since 2017; Nicolas Jarry leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Santiago in 2017 on clay. On clay courts Jarry leads 3–2. Jarry has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Varillas has taken 5 sets to Jarry's 9. Their most recent meeting: Nicolas Jarry won at Davis Cup, World Group, Q, CHI-PER 3-2 (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pablo Varillas | Jarry | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Pablo Varillas | Nicolas Jarry | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 26/36 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 8/27 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 18/63 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 6/17 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 91% | 10/11 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 10/23 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 26/38 | 50% | 2/4 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pablo Varillas 1, Jarry 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Jarry
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Nicolas Jarry.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Feb 4, 2024
Davis Cup, World Group, Q, CHI-PER 3-2
H Hard · Rubber 4
Feb 28, 2023
Chile Dove Men+Care Open - Santiago
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 17, 2022
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-CHI 2-3
C Clay · Rubber 2
Mar 19, 2021
Santiago Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jul 9, 2017
Medellin
C Clay · Round of 16
Mar 8, 2017
Santiago
C Clay · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Varillas | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | - |
| ROI % | +49.5% | - |
| Units P/L | +3.47u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Varillas | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | SMR | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Varillas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Jarry's 0%).
| Opponent | Varillas | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Francesco Maestrelli | W 76 46 63 | L 46 64 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Timofey Skatov
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Maestrelli
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jacopo Vasami
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Luis Carlos Alvarez
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Bruno Fernandez
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Elmer Moller
Oeiras 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 14
Jurij Rodionov
Madrid Challenger · Semifinals
Apr 11
Nerman Fatic
Madrid Challenger · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Dominic Stricker
Madrid Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 9
Adam Walton
Cap Cana Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 10
Francesco Maestrelli
BNP Paribas Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 2
Mattia Bellucci
Miami Open presented by Itau · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 1
Dino Prizmic
BCI Seguros Chile Open - Santiago · 1st Round
Feb 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 11–63 matches
| Metric | Varillas | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 27% |
| Sets won | 56% | 37% |
| Games won | 52% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Varillas | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Varillas | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 3 |
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