Juan Pablo Varillas vs Murkel DellienPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Juan Pablo Varillas and Murkel Dellien have met 4 times since 2022; Juan Pablo Varillas leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Davis Cup, Group I, PO, PER-BOL 3-1 in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Varillas leads 3–1. Varillas has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Varillas has taken 6 sets to Dellien's 3. Their most recent meeting: Juan Pablo Varillas won at Buenos Aires Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pablo Varillas | Dellien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Pablo Varillas | Murkel Dellien | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 25/39 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 8/27 | 20% | 5/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 22/66 | 29% | 14/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 27% | 6/22 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 12/23 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 33/38 | 90% | 19/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 25/38 | 67% | 14/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pablo Varillas 2, Dellien 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Dellien
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 56% vs 🧱 The Wall across 642 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Juan Pablo Varillas.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 23, 2026
Buenos Aires Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Nov 19, 2025
Guayaquil Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Nov 4, 2024
Lima 2 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 4, 2022
Davis Cup, Group I, PO, PER-BOL 3-1
C Clay · Rubber 1
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Varillas | Dellien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Pablo Varillas | Murkel Dellien | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 64% | 7/11 |
| 3 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 5 or more | 35% | 6/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Varillas | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–8 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.09 | 3.09 |
| ROI % | -4.0% | -32.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.68u | -2.90u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Varillas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Dellien's 40%).
| Opponent | Varillas | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Elahi Galan | W 63 63 | L 46 26 |
| Luis Felipe Miguel | W 75 60 | L |
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | L 16 67 | L 16 26 |
| Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | L 26 46 | W 63 26 64 |
| Bruno Fernandez | W 26 63 64 | W 76 63 |
| Ryan Dickerson | L 57 36 | W 61 61 |
| Carlos Maria Zarate | W 63 63 | L 16 62 36 |
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | W 62 64 | W 36 62 63 |
| Facundo Mena | L | L 26 46 |
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | W 63 46 63 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Filip Misolic
Costa do Sauipe Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 3
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Guayaquil Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 27
Gustavo Heide
Cali Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 21
Daniel Elahi Galan
Cali Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 19
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Buenos Aires Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Murkel Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Tomas Farjat
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Villa Maria Challenger · 2nd Round
Nov 5
Dante Pagani
Villa Maria Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 3
Luis Felipe Miguel
Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 13
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Antofagasta Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Juan Estevez
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Juan Pablo Varillas
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Hernan Casanova
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–66 matches
| Metric | Varillas | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 48% |
| Sets won | 56% | 46% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Varillas | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Varillas | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 3 | 1 |
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