Juan Pablo Varillas vs Murkel DellienPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Juan Pablo Varillas and Murkel Dellien have met 3 times since 2022; Juan Pablo Varillas leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Davis Cup, Group I, PO, PER-BOL 3-1 in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Varillas leads 2–1. Across all meetings Varillas has taken 4 sets to Dellien's 2. Their most recent meeting: Juan Pablo Varillas won at Guayaquil Challenger (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Buenos Aires Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 2nd Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- September 23 · 11:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.16 or shorter, Juan Pablo Varillas has won 13 of 15 (87%). That is level with the 87% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Murkel Dellien meets Juan Pablo Varillas in the second round of the Buenos Aires Challenger on September 23. The match takes place on clay, where Varillas, ranked 196, has built a strong recent record at 15-5 across a sample of clay matches. Dellien, ranked 423, won his opening round in straight sets after a one-day break.
Varillas leads their head-to-head 3-1, winning three of their four meetings. The Peruvian has won four of his last five matches and eight of his last ten, currently riding a three-match streak. Dellien's form dips sharply over the same windows; he won one of five and four of ten, though his only recent match was a victory.
Dellien's defensive baseline game thrives when he controls rallies with consistency and depth. Varillas reads the court with precision, returning serve well and striking off the ground when openings appear. Varillas holds a 75% win rate on clay while Dellien sits at 45%. The second round will ask Dellien to sustain long points against a player currently in rhythm, while Varillas must maintain the discipline that has defined his recent run.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pablo Varillas | Dellien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Pablo Varillas | Murkel Dellien | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 26/41 | 63% | 19/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 9/28 | 25% | 7/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 24/69 | 31% | 18/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 30% | 6/20 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 81% | 13/16 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 14/29 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 36/40 | 86% | 24/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 26/40 | 68% | 19/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pablo Varillas 2, Dellien 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Dellien
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 56% vs 🧱 The Wall across 653 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Juan Pablo Varillas.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Nov 19, 2025
Guayaquil Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Nov 4, 2024
Lima 2 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 4, 2022
Davis Cup, Group I, PO, PER-BOL 3-1
C Clay · Rubber 1
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Varillas | Dellien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Pablo Varillas | Murkel Dellien | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 20/20 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 3 or more | 65% | 13/20 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 5 or more | 45% | 9/20 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 2/20 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Varillas | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | 1.99 |
| ROI % | +42.7% | -40.8% |
| Units P/L | +7.69u | -4.90u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Varillas | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 2 |
| Matches | 10 | 2 |
| Distance | 10,996 mi · 17,696 km | 7,141 mi · 11,493 km |
| Route | USA → ITA → ARG | GER → ARG |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Varillas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Dellien's 40%).
| Opponent | Varillas | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| Bruno Fernandez | W 26 63 64 | W 76 63 |
| Ryan Dickerson | L 57 36 | W 61 61 |
| Carlos Maria Zarate | W 63 63 | L 16 62 36 |
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | W 62 64 | W 36 62 63 |
| Facundo Mena | L | L 26 46 |
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | W 63 46 63 | L 36 36 |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | L 26 67 | L 36 36 |
| Alex Barrena | L 62 26 36 | L 61 67 16 |
| Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | W | W 63 26 64 |
| Franco Agamenone | L 67 26 | L 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tomas Farjat
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 5
Sep 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Genoa Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Federico Arnaboldi
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Matej Dodig
Como Challenger · Final
Sep 6
Jay Clarke
Como Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 5
Hernan Casanova
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Benito Sanchez Martinez
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Ryan Nijboer
Sion Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Daniel Elahi Galan
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
Adrian Andreev
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Jack Loge
M25 Wetzlar · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Lars Goran Verwerft
M25 Wetzlar · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jip Van Assendelft
M25 Wetzlar · 1st Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–69 matches
| Metric | Varillas | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 52% |
| Sets won | 56% | 50% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Varillas | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Varillas | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |