Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Rio NoguchiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Rio Noguchi have met 1 time since 2025; Juan Manuel Cerundolo leads 1–0. Across all meetings Cerundolo has taken 2 sets to Noguchi's 0. Their most recent meeting: Juan Manuel Cerundolo won at Tokyo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Manuel Cerundolo | Noguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Rio Noguchi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 21/34 | 59% | 22/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 37% | 25/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 7/17 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 65% | 20/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 8/17 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 27/30 | 82% | 27/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 21/30 | 67% | 22/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Manuel Cerundolo 1, Noguchi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
💥 Big Hitter
Noguchi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 22, 2025
Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cerundolo | Noguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Rio Noguchi | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 3 or more | 72% | 13/18 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 5 or more | 61% | 11/18 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 2/18 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–8 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.95 | 2.06 |
| ROI % | -2.4% | -25.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.36u | -4.14u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km | 754 mi · 1,213 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Noguchi's 25%).
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Bu Yunchaokete | L 26 75 46 | L 64 46 26 |
| Dhakshineswar Suresh | W 76 63 | W 64 60 |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | L 57 16 | L 36 36 |
| Mark Lajal | W 64 64 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Alcaraz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Nicolas Mejia
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Bu Yunchaokete
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Yi Zhou
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Arthur Gea
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Sebastian Baez
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Alexandre Muller
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Dalibor Svrcina
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Masamichi Imamura
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Colin Sinclair
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Kaichi Uchida
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Omar Jasika
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Rigele Te
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–67 matches
| Metric | Cerundolo | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 55% |
| Sets won | 54% | 53% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cerundolo | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cerundolo | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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