Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Rio NoguchiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Rio Noguchi have met 1 time since 2025; Juan Manuel Cerundolo leads 1–0. Across all meetings Cerundolo has taken 2 sets to Noguchi's 0. Their most recent meeting: Juan Manuel Cerundolo won at Tokyo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Manuel Cerundolo | Noguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Rio Noguchi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 22/36 | 58% | 19/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 8/21 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 22/57 | 40% | 24/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 5/14 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 12/15 | 68% | 21/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 29/33 | 77% | 24/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 22/33 | 61% | 19/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Manuel Cerundolo 1, Noguchi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
💥 Big Hitter
Noguchi
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,159 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Juan Manuel Cerundolo.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 22, 2025
Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cerundolo | Noguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Rio Noguchi | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 9/15 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–4 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.82 | 1.93 |
| ROI % | +69.5% | -6.1% |
| Units P/L | +9.04u | -0.85u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Noguchi's 33%).
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Dhakshineswar Suresh | W 76 63 | W 64 60 |
| Mark Lajal | W 64 64 | L 46 46 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | L 46 36 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Arthur Rinderknech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Mark Lajal
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Casper Ruud
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Hamad Medjedovic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Marco Trungelliti
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 21
Charles Broom
Winnipeg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Keegan Rice
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Braden Shick
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Mark Lajal
Lincoln Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Lincoln Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Charles Broom
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 13
Andre Ilagan
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex Martinez
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–63 matches
| Metric | Cerundolo | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 55% |
| Sets won | 57% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cerundolo | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cerundolo | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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