Jordan Thompson vs Rafael NadalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jordan Thompson and Rafael Nadal have met 4 times since 2020; Rafael Nadal leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris in 2020 on hard. On clay courts Nadal leads 2–0. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Thompson has taken 2 sets to Nadal's 9. Their most recent meeting: Jordan Thompson won at Brisbane International - Brisbane (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Thompson | Nadal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jordan Thompson | Rafael Nadal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 5/6 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 1/5 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 18% | 2/11 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 5/8 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 1/3 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 5/6 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 5/6 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Thompson 0, Nadal 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Thompson
🤖 Servebot
Nadal
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,470 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 5, 2024
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 24, 2022
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 128
May 23, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Nov 5, 2020
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 3rd Round
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round
Jan 21
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round
Jan 19
Jurij Rodionov
Noumea Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jan 8
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
Noumea Challenger · 2nd Round
Jan 7
Emile Hudd
Noumea Challenger · 1st Round
Jan 6
Erik Arutiunian
Sioux Falls Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 22
Michael Mmoh
Sioux Falls Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 20
Dan Added
Roanne Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 8
Botic van de Zandschulp
Davis Cup, World Group, QF, NED-ESP 2-1 · Rubber 1
Nov 19
Novak Djokovic
Olympics - Paris · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Marton Fucsovics
Olympics - Paris · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 21
Duje Ajdukovic
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 20
Mariano Navone
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 19
Cameron Norrie
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 18
Leo Borg
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 13–13 matches
| Metric | Thompson | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | - |
| Sets won | 53% | - |
| Games won | 52% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Thompson | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Thompson | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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