Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Juan Pablo VarillasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇾Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
#342 · 21 yrs · R
2 meetings · sets 2–0
🇵🇪Juan Pablo Varillas
#200 · 30 yrs · R
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo and Juan Pablo Varillas have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Tigre 2 Challenger in 2026 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Cardozo has taken 2 sets to Varillas's 0. Their most recent meeting: Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo won at Buenos Aires Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Aguilar Cardozo | Pablo Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 39/52 | 62% | 24/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 4/14 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 17/66 | 35% | 23/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 73% | 32/44 | 25% | 5/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 25% | 3/12 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 47/49 | 89% | 33/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 39/49 | 65% | 24/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Aguilar Cardozo 1, Pablo Varillas 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cardozo
⚔️ The Gladiator
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Juan Pablo Varillas.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 25, 2026
Buenos Aires Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Feb 26, 2026
Tigre 2 Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cardozo | Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| 1 or more | 60% | 15/25 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cardozo | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 23–2 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.35 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | +22.2% | +32.2% |
| Units P/L | +5.56u | +5.79u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cardozo | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ARG | ARG |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Varillas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Cardozo's 30%).
| Opponent | Cardozo | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Lautaro Midon | L 67 62 67 | L 67 46 |
| Felipe Meligeni Alves | L | L 36 16 |
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | W 63 06 63 | W 62 64 |
| Alex Barrena | L 46 36 | L 62 26 36 |
| Murkel Dellien | L 36 62 46 | W 46 75 64 |
| Carlos Maria Zarate | W 62 61 | W 63 63 |
| Gonzalo Villanueva | W 46 64 76 | W 63 75 |
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | L 67 26 | W 63 76 |
| Facundo Mena | L 76 36 26 | L |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | L 75 67 36 | L 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lautaro Midon
Antofagasta Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Nicolas Villalon
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Antofagasta Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Santiago De La Fuente
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Alex Barrena
Buenos Aires Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 26
Juan Pablo Varillas
Buenos Aires Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Francisco Comesana
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Carlos Maria Zarate
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Buenos Aires Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Murkel Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Tomas Farjat
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 5
Sep 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Genoa Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–66 matches
| Metric | Cardozo | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 79% | 59% |
| Sets won | 72% | 55% |
| Games won | 61% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cardozo | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cardozo | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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