Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Lorenzo Joaquin RodriguezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇾Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
#342 · 21 yrs · R
4 meetings · sets 7–3
🇦🇷Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
#533 · 27 yrs · R
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo and Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez have met 4 times since 2025; Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at M15 Santiago 4 in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Cardozo leads 3–1. Cardozo has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Cardozo leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Cardozo has taken 7 sets to Rodriguez's 3. Their most recent meeting: Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo won at Antofagasta Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Aguilar Cardozo | Joaquin Rodriguez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 39/52 | 85% | 35/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 4/14 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 17/66 | 23% | 16/71 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 73% | 32/44 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 25% | 3/12 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 47/49 | 89% | 41/46 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 39/49 | 76% | 35/46 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Aguilar Cardozo 2, Joaquin Rodriguez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cardozo
⚔️ The Gladiator
Rodriguez
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
Both Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo and Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez are ⚔️ The Gladiator types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 1,370 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 5, 2026
Antofagasta Challenger
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 19, 2026
M15 Villa Constitucion
C Clay · Final
Feb 16, 2026
AAT Challenger IEB+ Edicion Tigre I
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 3, 2025
M15 Santiago 4
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cardozo | Rodriguez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | ||
| 1 or more | 58% | 15/26 | 74% | 14/19 |
| 3 or more | 4% | 1/26 | 47% | 9/19 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cardozo | Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 23–2 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.35 | 2.02 |
| ROI % | +22.2% | -9.4% |
| Units P/L | +5.56u | -0.66u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cardozo | Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 835 mi · 1,344 km |
| Route | ARG | ARG → BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cardozo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Rodriguez's 80%).
| Opponent | Cardozo | Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Villalon | W 62 75 | W 62 67 63 |
| Franco Ribero | W 62 57 61 | W 63 62 |
| Juan Pablo Varillas | W 62 64 | L 26 46 |
| Carlos Maria Zarate | W 62 61 | W 61 67 76 |
| Federico Aguilar Cardozo | W 64 75 | W 62 63 |
| Bastian Malla | W 62 75 | W |
| Gonzalo Villanueva | W 46 64 76 | W 64 63 |
| Lorenzo Gagliardo | W 61 63 | W 63 64 |
| Nicolas Zanellato | W 60 61 | W 61 63 |
| Felipe Meligeni Alves | L | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lautaro Midon
Antofagasta Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Nicolas Villalon
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Antofagasta Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Santiago De La Fuente
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Alex Barrena
Buenos Aires Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 26
Juan Pablo Varillas
Buenos Aires Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Francisco Comesana
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Carlos Maria Zarate
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Agustin Eduardo Cuellar Lorberg
Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Antofagasta Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Franco Ribero
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Tomas Barrios Vera
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Wilson Leite
Curitiba Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Bruno Milani
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Bastian Malla
Buenos Aires Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–71 matches
| Metric | Cardozo | Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 79% | 58% |
| Sets won | 72% | 58% |
| Games won | 61% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cardozo | Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
| ITF M15 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cardozo | Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 3 | 1 |
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