Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos SantosPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
#511 · 26 yrs · R
4w5 meetings · sets 6–7
🇧🇷Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
#475 · 26 yrs · R
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez and Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos have met 5 times since 2024; Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Sao Leopoldo in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Santos leads 3–2. Santos has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rodriguez has taken 6 sets to Santos's 7. Their most recent meeting: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos won at M25 Sao Paulo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Joaquin Rodriguez | Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 81% | 35/43 | 58% | 21/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 12/31 | 37% | 11/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 20/74 | 39% | 26/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 7/17 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 7/11 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 11/27 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 41/48 | 84% | 32/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 35/48 | 55% | 21/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Joaquin Rodriguez 1, Andre Saraiva Dos Santos 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rodriguez
🪃 Counterpuncher
Santos
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez and Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,818 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 25, 2026
M25 Sao Paulo
C Clay · Semifinals
Apr 1, 2026
Sao Leopoldo Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 18, 2025
Asuncion
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 9, 2025
Santiago
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 24, 2024
Sao Leopoldo
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rodriguez | Santos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 100% | 21/21 |
| 3 or more | 38% | 6/16 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 5 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 52% | 11/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 5% | 1/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rodriguez | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–1 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 2.35 |
| ROI % | +3.0% | -10.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.15u | -1.09u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rodriguez | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 6 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | BRA | BRA → JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rodriguez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Santos's 40%).
| Opponent | Rodriguez | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Arcila | L 26 46 | W 61 64 |
| Felipe Meligeni Alves | L 46 46 | L 36 57 |
| Carlos Maria Zarate | W 61 67 76 | W 76 36 76 |
| Nicolas Zanellato | W 61 63 | W 63 46 62 |
| Jose Pereira | W 63 63 | L 67 36 |
| Thiago Cigarran | W 63 76 | W 76 75 |
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | L 26 26 | L 36 64 26 |
| Santiago De La Fuente | W 61 61 | L 63 36 67 |
| Luis Felipe Miguel | L 46 46 | L 36 36 |
| Murkel Dellien | L 63 26 36 | L 61 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felipe Meligeni Alves
M25 Londrina · 1st Round
Aug 4
Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas
M15 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 29
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M25 Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Jul 25
Jose Pereira
M25 Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Nicolas Zanellato
M25 Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Maximo Zeitune
M25 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 22
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Villa Constitucion · Final
Jul 19
Thiago Cigarran
M15 Villa Constitucion · Semifinals
Jul 18
Andres Martin
Kingston 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Juan Alejandro Hernandez
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Felipe Meligeni Alves
M25 Londrina · Final
Aug 8
Carlos Maria Zarate
M25 Londrina · Semifinals
Aug 7
Salvador Price
M25 Londrina · Quarterfinals
Aug 6
Nicolas Zanellato
M25 Londrina · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Wilson Leite
M25 Londrina · 1st Round
Aug 4
Mateus Alves
M15 Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 67–74 matches
| Metric | Rodriguez | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 54% |
| Sets won | 58% | 52% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rodriguez | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rodriguez | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 3 |
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