Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos SantosPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
#533 · 27 yrs · R
5 meetings · sets 6–7
🇧🇷Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
#436 · 26 yrs · R
TitleLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez and Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos have met 5 times since 2024; Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Sao Leopoldo in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Santos leads 3–2. Santos has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rodriguez has taken 6 sets to Santos's 7. Their most recent meeting: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos won at M25 Sao Paulo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Joaquin Rodriguez | Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 85% | 35/41 | 53% | 23/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 10/30 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 16/71 | 45% | 32/71 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 9/18 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 5/8 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 7/21 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 41/46 | 83% | 38/46 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 35/46 | 50% | 23/46 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Joaquin Rodriguez 1, Andre Saraiva Dos Santos 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rodriguez
⚔️ The Gladiator
Santos
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 688 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 25, 2026
M25 Sao Paulo
C Clay · Semifinals
Apr 1, 2026
Sao Leopoldo Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 18, 2025
Asuncion
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 9, 2025
Santiago
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 24, 2024
Sao Leopoldo
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rodriguez | Santos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | ||
| 1 or more | 72% | 13/18 | 100% | 24/24 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 79% | 19/24 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 54% | 13/24 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 4% | 1/24 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 4% | 1/24 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/24 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rodriguez | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 9–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.02 | 1.97 |
| ROI % | -9.4% | +2.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.66u | +0.33u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rodriguez | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 2 |
| Distance | 835 mi · 1,344 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ARG → BRA | BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rodriguez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Santos's 60%).
| Opponent | Rodriguez | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Franco Ribero | W 63 62 | W 63 26 64 |
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | L 26 26 | L 63 36 06 |
| Wilson Leite | W 61 76 | W 63 36 60 |
| Bastian Malla | W | W 75 16 64 |
| Nicolas Zanellato | W 61 63 | W 64 75 |
| Garrett Johns | W 62 61 | L |
| Felipe Meligeni Alves | L 46 46 | L 36 57 |
| Carlos Maria Zarate | W 61 67 76 | W 76 36 76 |
| Jose Pereira | W 63 63 | L 67 36 |
| Thiago Cigarran | W 63 76 | W 76 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Agustin Eduardo Cuellar Lorberg
Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Antofagasta Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Franco Ribero
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Tomas Barrios Vera
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Wilson Leite
Curitiba Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Bruno Milani
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Bastian Malla
Buenos Aires Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Santiago De La Fuente
Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Gabriel Schenekenberg
Curitiba Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Augusto Scheidt
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Nicolas Zanellato
M15 Belem · Final
Sep 20
Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio
M15 Belem · Semifinals
Sep 19
Gabriel Schenekenberg
M15 Belem · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira
M15 Belem · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 71–72 matches
| Metric | Rodriguez | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 60% |
| Sets won | 58% | 56% |
| Games won | 55% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rodriguez | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rodriguez | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 3 |
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