Jessica Pegula vs Peyton StearnsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈJessica Pegula
#4 Β· 32 yrs Β· Right-Handed
5w2 meetings Β· sets 4β0

πΊπΈPeyton Stearns
#37 Β· 24 yrs Β· Right-Handed
3Jessica Pegula and Peyton Stearns have met 2 times since 2023; Jessica Pegula leads 2β0. Their first meeting came at Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 2β0. Pegula has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 4 sets to Stearns's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at National Bank Open - Toronto (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Stearns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Peyton Stearns | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 31/51 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 27/66 | 35% | 17/48 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 29/53 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 69% | 9/13 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 39/44 | 85% | 23/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 31/44 | 70% | 19/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 2, Stearns 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
π The Complete Package
Stearns
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
π The Complete Package vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 10, 2024
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 3, 2023
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pegula | Stearns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jessica Pegula | Peyton Stearns | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 17/19 | 50% | 7/14 |
| 5 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14β4 | 7β7 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 1.76 |
| ROI % | +4.8% | -15.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.86u | -2.22u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | β | 3 |
| Events | β | 3 |
| Matches | β | 7 |
| Distance | β | 8,184 mi Β· 13,171 km |
| Route | β | UKR β ROU β CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Stearns's 30%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Iva Jovic | W 46 63 61 | L 46 26 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 63 76 | W 76 62 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 57 26 | L 57 36 |
| Sofia Kenin | W 63 61 | W 63 63 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 63 62 | L 06 57 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 64 26 76 | L 16 46 |
| Clara Tauson | W 63 26 64 | L 67 61 57 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 36 63 62 | W 64 62 |
| Kimberly Birrell | L 61 36 36 | L 57 06 |
| Madison Keys | W 76 76 | L 64 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York Β· Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals
Aug 22
Han Shi
Wuhan Open - Wuhan Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Viktorija Golubic
China Open - Beijing Β· 2nd Round
Oct 2
Iva Jovic
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara Β· Final
Sep 19
Liudmila Samsonova
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara Β· Semifinals
Sep 19
Sloane Stephens
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Diane Parry
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara Β· 2nd Round
Sep 15
Emiliana Arango
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara Β· 1st Round
Sep 13
Harriet Dart
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 48β66 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 77% | 52% |
| Sets won | 69% | 54% |
| Games won | 57% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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