Jessica Pegula vs Lauren DavisPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–3
🇺🇸Lauren Davis
Unranked · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
65wJessica Pegula and Lauren Davis have met 3 times since 2016; Jessica Pegula leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Washington in 2016 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Pegula has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 4 sets to Davis's 3. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Wimbledon - London (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Davis | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Lauren Davis | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 31/57 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 9/19 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 35/76 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 30/60 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 42/48 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 31/48 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 1, Davis 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Davis
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 958 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 3, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Aug 2, 2019
Washington
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 23, 2016
Washington
H Hard · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Davis |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | - |
| ROI % | +10.4% | - |
| Units P/L | +2.29u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 12 | — |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | — |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Diane Parry
Makarska Open - Makarska · 1st Round
Jun 4
Daria Kasatkina
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston · 2nd Round
Apr 2
Jamie Loeb
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston · 1st Round
Apr 1
Qinwen Zheng
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Aoi Ito
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 18
Elina Avanesyan
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 7
Carson Branstine
Cancun Tennis Open - Cancun · 2nd Round
Feb 12
Eva Vedder
Cancun Tennis Open - Cancun · 1st Round
Feb 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 76–76 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | - |
| Sets won | 66% | - |
| Games won | 56% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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