Jessica Pegula vs Lauren DavisPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5w3 meetings · sets 4–3
🇺🇸Lauren Davis
Unranked · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
71wJessica Pegula and Lauren Davis have met 3 times since 2016; Jessica Pegula leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Washington in 2016 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Pegula has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 4 sets to Davis's 3. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Wimbledon - London (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Davis | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Lauren Davis | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 31/51 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 27/66 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 29/53 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 69% | 9/13 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 39/44 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 31/44 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 1, Davis 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Davis
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,583 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jessica Pegula.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 3, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Aug 2, 2019
Washington
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 23, 2016
Washington
H Hard · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Davis |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | - |
| ROI % | +4.8% | - |
| Units P/L | +0.86u | - |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Diane Parry
Makarska Open - Makarska · 1st Round
Jun 4
Daria Kasatkina
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston · 2nd Round
Apr 2
Jamie Loeb
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston · 1st Round
Apr 1
Qinwen Zheng
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Aoi Ito
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 18
Elina Avanesyan
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 7
Carson Branstine
Cancun Tennis Open - Cancun · 2nd Round
Feb 12
Eva Vedder
Cancun Tennis Open - Cancun · 1st Round
Feb 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–66 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 77% | - |
| Sets won | 69% | - |
| Games won | 57% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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