Jelena Ostapenko vs Lauren DavisPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π±π»Jelena Ostapenko
#31 Β· 29 yrs Β· Right-Handed
4 meetings Β· sets 6β2
πΊπΈLauren Davis
Unranked Β· 32 yrs Β· Right-Handed
65wJelena Ostapenko and Lauren Davis have met 4 times since 2020; Jelena Ostapenko leads 3β1. Their first meeting came at Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg in 2020 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1β1. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 6 sets to Davis's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Davis | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Lauren Davis | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 15/22 | β | |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | β | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 16/39 | β | |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 12/22 | β | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | β | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | β | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | β | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 15/23 | β | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample β read with care. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 3, Davis 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
π The Complete Package
Davis
πΎ All-Court
Matchup analysis
The π The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs πΎ All-Court across 706 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jelena Ostapenko.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 18, 2022
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard Β· 1st Round
May 10, 2022
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay Β· 1st Round
Jun 15, 2021
Birmingham Classic - Birmingham
G Grass Β· 1st Round
Sep 21, 2020
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg
C Clay Β· 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Davis |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5β2 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.74 | - |
| ROI % | -7.7% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.54u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | β |
| Events | 1 | β |
| Matches | 1 | β |
| Distance | 0 mi Β· 0 km | β |
| Route | POL | β |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London Β· 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne Β· Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne Β· 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne Β· 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris Β· 2nd Round
May 27
Diane Parry
Makarska Open - Makarska Β· 1st Round
Jun 4
Daria Kasatkina
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston Β· 2nd Round
Apr 2
Jamie Loeb
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston Β· 1st Round
Apr 1
Qinwen Zheng
Miami Open - Miami Β· 2nd Round
Mar 20
Aoi Ito
Miami Open - Miami Β· 1st Round
Mar 18
Elina Avanesyan
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 1st Round
Mar 7
Carson Branstine
Cancun Tennis Open - Cancun Β· 2nd Round
Feb 12
Eva Vedder
Cancun Tennis Open - Cancun Β· 1st Round
Feb 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 39β39 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | - |
| Sets won | 56% | - |
| Games won | 52% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Davis |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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