Jesper de Jong vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jesper de Jong and Sebastian Baez have met 1 time since 2026; Sebastian Baez leads 1–0. Across all meetings Jong has taken 0 sets to Baez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at Nordea Open - Bastad (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Jong | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jesper de Jong | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 44% | 11/25 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 8/27 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 22/52 | 22% | 13/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 27% | 9/33 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 35% | 6/17 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 13/20 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 15/20 | 85% | 29/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 11/20 | 76% | 26/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Jong 0, Baez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Jong
💥 Big Hitter
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 620 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 16, 2026
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Jong | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jesper de Jong | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 29% | 6/21 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 10/16 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 4/16 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 19% | 3/16 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Jong | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | -9.7% | +8.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.55u | +1.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Jong | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 5 | 9 |
| Distance | 1,731 mi · 2,785 km | 3,066 mi · 4,934 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA → MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Jong and Baez posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Jong | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Walton | L 26 46 | L 26 26 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 46 46 | L 57 36 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 67 46 | L 36 16 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 36 | L 16 26 |
| Vilius Gaubas | W 76 75 | L 57 16 |
| Federico Bondioli | W 62 46 64 | W 64 64 |
| Roberto Carballes Baena | W 63 62 | W 64 62 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 63 36 63 64 | W 75 75 |
| Cristian Garin | L 57 61 16 | W 76 16 75 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 57 26 67 | L 46 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Adam Walton
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Dane Sweeny
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Alex Michelsen
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Vilius Gaubas
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Grigor Dimitrov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–64 matches
| Metric | Jong | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 55% |
| Sets won | 46% | 53% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Jong | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Jong | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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