Jelena Ostapenko vs Marta KostyukPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk
#10 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
4wJelena Ostapenko and Marta Kostyuk have met 2 times since 2023; Jelena Ostapenko leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Ostapenko leads 2–0. Ostapenko has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 4 sets to Kostyuk's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Adelaide International - Adelaide (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 17/42 | 30% | 14/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 91% | 30/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 79% | 26/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 2, Kostyuk 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 11, 2024
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 19, 2023
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 8–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 1.49 |
| ROI % | -34.0% | -11.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.04u | -1.41u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 592 mi · 952 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POR → ROU | UKR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Ostapenko's 40%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 64 62 | W 63 62 |
| Tatjana Maria | L 64 16 26 | W 63 60 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 75 26 46 | W 46 60 62 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 57 62 75 | W 63 62 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 46 | L 46 36 |
| Magda Linette | L 26 62 26 | W 64 60 |
| Katie Volynets | W 64 76 | W 67 63 63 |
| Oksana Selekhmeteva | W 57 76 62 | W 62 63 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 64 46 46 | W 62 16 61 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 64 36 26 | W 61 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Liudmila Samsonova
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Ekaterina Alexandrova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sloane Stephens
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Storm Hunter
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–46 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 78% |
| Sets won | 57% | 72% |
| Games won | 53% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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