Jelena Ostapenko vs Marta KostyukPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk
#11 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
Jelena Ostapenko and Marta Kostyuk have met 2 times since 2023; Jelena Ostapenko leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Ostapenko leads 2–0. Ostapenko has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 4 sets to Kostyuk's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Adelaide International - Adelaide (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 15/22 | 71% | 27/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 16/39 | 33% | 16/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 12/22 | 60% | 21/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 15/23 | 79% | 27/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 2, Kostyuk 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Jelena Ostapenko and Marta Kostyuk are 👑 The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 3,166 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 11, 2024
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 19, 2023
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 60% | 9/15 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 11–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.74 | 1.55 |
| ROI % | -7.7% | +3.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.54u | +0.49u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Ostapenko's 50%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Mirra Andreeva | L 75 26 46 | W 46 60 62 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 57 62 75 | W 63 62 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 46 | L 46 36 |
| Magda Linette | L 26 62 26 | W 64 60 |
| Katie Volynets | W 64 76 | W 67 63 63 |
| Ella Seidel | W 64 64 | W 61 61 |
| Oksana Selekhmeteva | W 57 76 62 | W 62 63 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 64 46 46 | W 62 16 61 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 64 36 26 | W 61 64 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | W 75 64 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Madison Keys
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Katherine Sebov
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–49 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 78% |
| Sets won | 56% | 71% |
| Games won | 52% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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