Jelena Ostapenko vs Maria SakkariPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 3–5
🇬🇷Maria Sakkari
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Jelena Ostapenko and Maria Sakkari have met 3 times since 2017; Maria Sakkari leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Charleston in 2017 on clay. On hard courts Sakkari leads 2–0. Sakkari has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 3 sets to Sakkari's 5. Their most recent meeting: Maria Sakkari won at J&T Banka Ostrava Open - Ostrava (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Maria Sakkari | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 15/22 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 23% | 5/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 16/39 | 30% | 13/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 12/22 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 15/23 | 59% | 13/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 0, Sakkari 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jelena Ostapenko.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 23, 2021
J&T Banka Ostrava Open - Ostrava
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 15, 2019
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Apr 5, 2017
Charleston
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Maria Sakkari | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.74 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | -7.7% | -8.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.54u | -1.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Sakkari's 40%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 63 60 | W 63 62 |
| Harriet Dart | W 63 36 64 | W 61 62 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 57 62 75 | L 16 26 |
| Qinwen Zheng | W 46 64 64 | L 64 67 46 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 75 26 46 | L 06 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Kamilla Rakhimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Zeynep Sonmez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens · Final
Jul 19
Alina Korneeva
Athens Open - Athens · Semifinals
Jul 18
Alycia Parks
Athens Open - Athens · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Harriet Dart
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–43 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 49% |
| Sets won | 56% | 47% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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