Jelena Ostapenko vs Maria SakkariPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 3–5
🇬🇷Maria Sakkari
#35 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Jelena Ostapenko and Maria Sakkari have met 3 times since 2017; Maria Sakkari leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Charleston in 2017 on clay. On hard courts Sakkari leads 2–0. Sakkari has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 3 sets to Sakkari's 5. Their most recent meeting: Maria Sakkari won at J&T Banka Ostrava Open - Ostrava (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Maria Sakkari | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 29% | 6/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 17/42 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 79% | 19/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 67% | 16/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 0, Sakkari 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 23, 2021
J&T Banka Ostrava Open - Ostrava
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 15, 2019
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Apr 5, 2017
Charleston
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Maria Sakkari | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 54% | 7/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 2.23 |
| ROI % | -34.0% | -22.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.04u | -2.96u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 592 mi · 952 km | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km |
| Route | POR → ROU | SGP → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Sakkari's 29%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Paula Badosa | W 76 75 | L 36 46 |
| Tatjana Maria | L 64 16 26 | L 36 36 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 63 60 | W 63 62 |
| Harriet Dart | W 63 36 64 | W 61 62 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 57 62 75 | L 16 26 |
| Qinwen Zheng | W 46 64 64 | L 64 67 46 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 75 26 46 | L 06 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Storm Hunter
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Nao Hibino
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Linda Fruhvirtova
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 22
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Robin Montgomery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–45 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 53% |
| Sets won | 57% | 52% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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