🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 4–8
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#19 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
Jelena Ostapenko and Madison Keys have met 5 times since 2016; Madison Keys leads 4–1. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Adelaide (2025).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 57% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 4,155 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Jelena Ostapenko.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes.
5 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | 12–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.83 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | -2.3% | +68.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.34u | +10.94u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Keys's 43%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 64 36 26 | L |
| Victoria Mboko | L 36 26 | W |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 67 63 64 | W |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 26 62 63 | W 60 63 |
| Qinwen Zheng | W 46 64 64 | L 64 26 46 |
| Sonay Kartal | L 57 62 26 | L 62 26 36 |
| Renata Zarazua | W 62 46 62 | L 76 67 57 |
Last five matches per player
Magda Linette
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Magda Linette
French Open ·
May 27
Ella Seidel
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Magda Linette
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 25
Ella Seidel
French Open ·
May 25
Ella Seidel
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Qinwen Zheng
Rome · Round of 32
May 5
Sorana Cirstea
Rome · Quarterfinals
May 5
Jessica Pegula
Berlin ·
Jun 19
Karolina Muchova
Berlin ·
Jun 18
Diana Shnaider
French Open ·
Jun 1
Victoria Mboko
French Open ·
May 30
Antonia Ruzic
French Open ·
May 28
Hanne Vandewinkel
French Open ·
May 26
Hanne Vandewinkel
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Diana Shnaider
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 25
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–39 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 62% |
| Sets won | 54% | 60% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 3 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
