Jelena Ostapenko vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#25 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
TitleJelena Ostapenko and Leylah Fernandez have met 1 time since 2021; Jelena Ostapenko leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 2 sets to Fernandez's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Wimbledon - London (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 68% | 21/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 17/42 | 32% | 18/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 49% | 19/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 79% | 26/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 64% | 21/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 1, Fernandez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Fernandez
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 30, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -34.0% | +32.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.04u | +5.15u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 7 |
| Distance | 592 mi · 952 km | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km |
| Route | POR → ROU | SGP → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fernandez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Ostapenko's 30%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 64 62 | W 64 36 63 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 75 26 46 | W 62 75 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 64 36 26 | L 61 46 36 |
| Shuai Zhang | L | W 63 62 |
| Magdalena Frech | L 16 36 | W 64 36 64 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 75 | L 26 67 |
| Magda Linette | L 26 62 26 | W 61 64 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 63 60 | L 46 67 |
| Xi Yao Wang | L 64 46 46 | L 36 46 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 36 26 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Kamilla Rakhimova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Final
Sep 27
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Semifinals
Sep 26
Mirra Andreeva
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Alycia Parks
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Kyoka Okamura
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–57 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 54% |
| Sets won | 57% | 53% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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