Jasmine Paolini vs Yue YuanPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 8–3
🇨🇳Yue Yuan
#141 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
Jasmine Paolini and Yue Yuan have met 4 times since 2023; Jasmine Paolini leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at China Open - Beijing in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Paolini leads 3–0. Paolini has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 8 sets to Yuan's 3. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Wuhan Open - Wuhan (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Yuan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Yue Yuan | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 10/20 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 15/39 | 50% | 28/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 10/30 | 33% | 11/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 3/9 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 14% | 1/7 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 66% | 19/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 10/18 | 52% | 15/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 1, Yuan 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Yuan
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 8, 2025
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 25, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 9, 2024
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 2, 2023
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | 2.46 |
| ROI % | -36.5% | -37.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.46u | -4.49u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,246 mi · 2,005 km |
| Route | ROU | POR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Yuan's 0%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Daria Snigur | L 63 67 26 | L 64 06 57 |
| Robin Montgomery | W 06 64 75 | L 76 67 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Caty Mcnally
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Mirra Andreeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Oleksandra Oliynykova
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Dayeon Back
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 21
Mary Stoiana
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Hanyu Guo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Julia Avdeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Kayla Day
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–56 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 46% |
| Sets won | 48% | 49% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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