Jasmine Paolini vs Yue YuanPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8w4 meetings · sets 8–3
🇨🇳Yue Yuan
#138 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
4wJasmine Paolini and Yue Yuan have met 4 times since 2023; Jasmine Paolini leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at China Open - Beijing in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Paolini leads 3–0. Paolini has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 8 sets to Yuan's 3. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Wuhan Open - Wuhan (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Yuan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Yue Yuan | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 14/26 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 17/45 | 49% | 19/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 12/33 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 6/12 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 3/8 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 14/21 | 45% | 10/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 1, Yuan 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Yuan
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 8, 2025
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 25, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 9, 2024
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 2, 2023
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Paolini | Yuan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jasmine Paolini | Yue Yuan | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 50% | 2/4 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 1–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 2.11 |
| ROI % | +35.3% | -83.6% |
| Units P/L | +2.12u | -5.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | KAZ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Yuan's 33%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Robin Montgomery | W 06 64 75 | L 76 67 16 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 61 62 | L 67 36 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 46 76 64 | W 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Elizara Yaneva
Polish Open - Warsaw · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Alana Smith
Polish Open - Warsaw · 1st Round
Aug 3
Nikola Bartunkova
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 1st Round
Jul 21
Aliona Falei
Enka Open - Istanbul · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jeline Vandromme
Wimbledon
Jun 23
Katerina Siniakova
Berlin
Jun 15
Robin Montgomery
Hertogenbosch
Jun 6
Mayar Sherif
Parma Ladies Open - Parma · 1st Round
May 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–45 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 44% |
| Sets won | 53% | 47% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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