Jasmine Paolini vs Talia GibsonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8w1 meeting · sets 1–2
🇦🇺Talia Gibson
#61 · 21 yrs · Right-Handed
Jasmine Paolini and Talia Gibson have met 1 time since 2026; Talia Gibson leads 1–0. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 1 sets to Gibson's 2. Their most recent meeting: Talia Gibson won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Gibson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Talia Gibson | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 14/26 | 69% | 25/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 17/45 | 36% | 23/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 12/33 | 44% | 14/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 6/12 | 70% | 19/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 3/8 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 80% | 33/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 14/21 | 61% | 25/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 0, Gibson 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Gibson
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 10, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Paolini | Gibson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jasmine Paolini | Talia Gibson | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 73% | 8/11 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 36% | 4/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 4–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 2.50 |
| ROI % | +35.3% | -31.9% |
| Units P/L | +2.12u | -3.83u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 913 mi · 1,469 km |
| Route | — | CAN → POL → ESP |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Gibson's 10%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 16 | L 26 67 |
| Tatjana Maria | L 46 36 | L 06 36 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 62 75 | L 16 63 26 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 75 63 | L 67 67 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 62 63 | L 67 36 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | W 61 62 | L 46 06 |
| Leolia Jeanjean | W 67 62 64 | L 76 26 57 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 26 | L 26 26 |
| Iva Jovic | L 26 67 | W 62 62 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 46 76 64 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Lizette Cabrera
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 1st Round
Aug 24
Aryna Sabalenka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Lilli Tagger
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Maja Chwalinska
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Tatjana Maria
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marie Bouzkova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Madison Keys
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–64 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 56% |
| Sets won | 53% | 56% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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