Jasmine Paolini vs Talia GibsonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฎ๐นJasmine Paolini
#33 ยท 30 yrs ยท Right-Handed
1 meeting ยท sets 1โ2

๐ฆ๐บTalia Gibson
#41 ยท 21 yrs ยท Right-Handed
3Jasmine Paolini and Talia Gibson have met 1 time since 2026; Talia Gibson leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 1 sets to Gibson's 2. Their most recent meeting: Talia Gibson won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Gibson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Talia Gibson | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 10/20 | 71% | 30/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 40% | 12/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 15/39 | 33% | 24/72 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 10/30 | 50% | 19/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 3/9 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 14% | 1/7 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 85% | 39/46 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 10/18 | 65% | 30/46 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 0, Gibson 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
๐น Frontrunner
Gibson
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐น Frontrunner vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 728 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 10, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard ยท 4th Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2โ2 | 5โ8 |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | -36.5% | -25.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.46u | -3.37u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | 3,433 mi ยท 5,525 km |
| Route | ROU | SGP โ ROU โ CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Gibson's 22%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | W 61 62 | L 16 46 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 61 62 | W 61 46 62 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 16 | L 26 67 |
| Tatjana Maria | L 46 36 | L 06 36 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 75 63 | L 67 67 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 62 63 | L 67 36 |
| Leolia Jeanjean | W 67 62 64 | L 76 26 57 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 26 | L 26 26 |
| Iva Jovic | L 26 67 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Leylah Fernandez
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท Final
Sep 27
Maria Sakkari
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Viktoria Morvayova
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท 2nd Round
Sep 24
Fiona Ferro
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท 1st Round
Sep 21
Donna Vekic
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 30
Lizette Cabrera
Philly Open - Philadelphia ยท 1st Round
Aug 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 39โ72 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 58% |
| Sets won | 48% | 57% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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