Jasmine Paolini vs Sofia KeninPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8w4 meetings · sets 2–6
🇺🇸Sofia Kenin
#110 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
Jasmine Paolini and Sofia Kenin have met 4 times since 2019; Sofia Kenin leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Rome in 2019 on clay. On hard courts Kenin leads 2–1. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 2 sets to Kenin's 6. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at China Open - Beijing (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Sofia Kenin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 14/26 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 17/45 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 12/33 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 6/12 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 3/8 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 14/21 | 43% | 6/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 1, Kenin 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Kenin
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 102 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 28, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 19, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Sep 20, 2019
Guangzhou
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 15, 2019
Rome
C Clay · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Paolini | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jasmine Paolini | Sofia Kenin | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 3.27 |
| ROI % | +35.3% | -32.7% |
| Units P/L | +2.12u | -2.94u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (43% vs Kenin's 14%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Marta Kostyuk | L 36 26 | L 64 36 57 |
| Viktorija Golubic | W 76 64 | L 26 64 36 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 76 36 46 | L 26 64 67 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 36 62 64 | W 26 63 75 |
| Himeno Sakatsume | W 63 61 | L 26 16 |
| Iva Jovic | L 26 67 | L 57 57 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 46 36 | L 67 63 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Eva Lys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Emma Navarro
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Amanda Anisimova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Petra Marcinko
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Daria Snigur
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Viktorija Golubic
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 1st Round
Jun 16
Viktorija Golubic
Nottingham
Jun 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 36–45 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 33% |
| Sets won | 53% | 38% |
| Games won | 52% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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