Jasmine Paolini vs Sofia KeninPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 2–6
🇺🇸Sofia Kenin
#125 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
4Jasmine Paolini and Sofia Kenin have met 4 times since 2019; Sofia Kenin leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Rome in 2019 on clay. On hard courts Kenin leads 2–1. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 2 sets to Kenin's 6. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at China Open - Beijing (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Sofia Kenin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 10/20 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 15/39 | 41% | 15/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 10/30 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 3/9 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 14% | 1/7 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 10/18 | 40% | 6/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 1, Kenin 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Kenin
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 126 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 28, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 19, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Sep 20, 2019
Guangzhou
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 15, 2019
Rome
C Clay · Round of 64
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 2–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | 3.54 |
| ROI % | -36.5% | -63.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.46u | -5.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,246 mi · 2,005 km |
| Route | ROU | POR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (38% vs Kenin's 0%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Daria Snigur | L 63 67 26 | L 36 16 |
| Lucrezia Stefanini | W 64 61 | L 57 61 26 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 26 36 | L 36 16 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 36 26 | L 64 36 57 |
| Viktorija Golubic | W 76 64 | L 26 64 36 |
| Himeno Sakatsume | W 63 61 | L 26 16 |
| Iva Jovic | L 26 67 | L 57 57 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 46 36 | L 67 63 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Kamilla Rakhimova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Ashlyn Krueger
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alina Charaeva
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Venus Williams
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Eva Lys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Lucrezia Stefanini
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–39 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 27% |
| Sets won | 48% | 35% |
| Games won | 50% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.