Jasmine Paolini vs Sara BejlekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Wuhan Open - Wuhan
- Level
- WTA 1000
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 12 · 2:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.08 or longer, Jasmine Paolini has won 58 of 122 (48%). The price implied 38%, so Jasmine Paolini has beaten it by 10 points.
At 1.74 or shorter, Sara Bejlek has won 22 of 34 (65%). The price implied 61%, so Sara Bejlek has beaten it by 4 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Jasmine Paolini and Sara Bejlek meet next at the Wuhan Open - Wuhan on October 12 on hard.
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Bejlek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Sara Bejlek | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 10/20 | 78% | 25/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 11% | 2/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 15/39 | 18% | 9/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 10/30 | 65% | 20/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 3/9 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 14% | 1/7 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 97% | 29/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 10/18 | 83% | 25/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Bejlek
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,750 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jasmine Paolini.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Paolini and Bejlek have never faced each other on tour.
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 11–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | 2.56 |
| ROI % | -36.5% | +37.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.46u | +6.74u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | 8,184 mi · 13,171 km |
| Route | ROU → CZE | UKR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bejlek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Paolini's 20%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| Cristina Bucsa | L 57 46 | L 06 46 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 36 | L 16 67 |
| Coco Gauff | L 36 26 | L 46 16 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 16 | W 76 64 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 36 62 64 | W 36 76 76 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 75 63 | L 16 26 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 26 26 | W 62 62 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 46 36 | L 67 26 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 75 26 57 | W 64 63 |
| Talia Gibson | L 57 62 16 | L 16 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Naomi Osaka
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maddison Inglis
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Cristina Bucsa
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Alycia Parks
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 2nd Round
Sep 15
Cristina Bucsa
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Madison Keys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Aryna Sabalenka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Matchup videos
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–51 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 63% |
| Sets won | 48% | 59% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |