Jasmine Paolini vs Renata ZarazuaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8w1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇲🇽Renata Zarazua
#71 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
3Jasmine Paolini and Renata Zarazua have met 1 time since 2025; Jasmine Paolini leads 1–0. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 2 sets to Zarazua's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Zarazua | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Renata Zarazua | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 14/26 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 24% | 6/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 17/45 | 35% | 23/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 12/33 | 43% | 15/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 6/12 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 3/8 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 91% | 32/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 14/21 | 66% | 23/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 1, Zarazua 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Zarazua
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
Both Jasmine Paolini and Renata Zarazua are 🏹 Frontrunner types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 274 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 16, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Paolini | Zarazua | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jasmine Paolini | Renata Zarazua | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 3 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 9–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 2.81 |
| ROI % | +35.3% | +10.2% |
| Units P/L | +2.12u | +1.73u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 2,526 mi · 4,066 km |
| Route | — | ECU → CAN → AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Zarazua's 29%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Tatjana Maria | L 46 36 | W 64 64 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 46 63 | L 16 26 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 46 76 64 | L 16 26 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 57 36 | W 36 63 64 |
| Priscilla Hon | W 60 62 | L 26 62 46 |
| Iva Jovic | L 26 67 | L 16 26 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 62 75 | L 26 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Clara Tauson
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Tamara Korpatsch
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anastasia Zakharova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · Quarterfinals
Aug 1
Darja Vidmanova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · Semifinals
Aug 1
Tatjana Maria
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mccartney Kessler
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Caroline Dolehide
W100 Evansville · Semifinals
Jul 25
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–66 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 62% |
| Sets won | 53% | 56% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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