Jasmine Paolini vs Renata ZarazuaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇲🇽Renata Zarazua
#85 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Jasmine Paolini and Renata Zarazua have met 1 time since 2025; Jasmine Paolini leads 1–0. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 2 sets to Zarazua's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Zarazua | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Renata Zarazua | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 10/20 | 60% | 25/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 26% | 9/34 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 15/39 | 34% | 26/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 10/30 | 44% | 17/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 3/9 | 35% | 11/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 14% | 1/7 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 89% | 34/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 10/18 | 66% | 25/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 1, Zarazua 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Zarazua
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 126 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 16, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 9–10 |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | 2.94 |
| ROI % | -36.5% | -0.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.46u | -0.06u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | POR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (43% vs Zarazua's 29%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 16 | L 16 36 |
| Tatjana Maria | L 46 36 | W 64 64 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 46 63 | L 16 26 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 57 36 | W 36 63 64 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | W 61 62 | L 36 46 |
| Priscilla Hon | W 60 62 | L 57 67 |
| Iva Jovic | L 26 67 | L 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rebecca Sramkova
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · Semifinals
Oct 10
Katarina Zavatska
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Darya Astakhova
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Han Shi
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round
Oct 6
Aryna Sabalenka
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Anna Bondar
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Anna Bondar
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Caroline Dolehide
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–77 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 56% |
| Sets won | 48% | 53% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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