Jasmine Paolini vs Rebecca SramkovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–0
🇸🇰Rebecca Sramkova
#134 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
5TitleJasmine Paolini and Rebecca Sramkova have met 3 times since 2023; Jasmine Paolini leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Makarska Open 125 - Makarska in 2023 on clay. On hard courts Paolini leads 2–0. Paolini has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 6 sets to Sramkova's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Miami Open - Miami (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Sramkova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Rebecca Sramkova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 10/20 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 15/39 | 33% | 18/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 10/30 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 3/9 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 14% | 1/7 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 10/18 | 69% | 22/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 3, Sramkova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Sramkova
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 20, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Nov 20, 2024
Billie Jean King Cup, Finals
H Hard · Rubber 2
Jun 10, 2023
Makarska Open 125 - Makarska
C Clay · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Sramkova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | 2.06 |
| ROI % | -36.5% | +16.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.46u | +2.62u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Sramkova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | SGP → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Paolini and Sramkova posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Paolini | Sramkova |
|---|---|---|
| Veronika Erjavec | W 63 36 64 | W 75 61 |
| Solana Sierra | L 63 46 36 | L 26 46 |
| Taylor Townsend | W 63 16 62 | L 63 57 26 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 57 36 | W 63 75 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 75 26 57 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Kyoka Okamura
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · Final
Oct 11
Renata Zarazua
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · Semifinals
Oct 10
Aliona Falei
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Claire Liu
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Alevtina Ibragimova
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round
Oct 5
Jodie Burrage
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Alevtina Ibragimova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–55 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Sramkova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 51% |
| Sets won | 48% | 53% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Sramkova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Sramkova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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