Jasmine Paolini vs Rebecca SramkovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8w3 meetings · sets 6–0
🇸🇰Rebecca Sramkova
#151 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
4wJasmine Paolini and Rebecca Sramkova have met 3 times since 2023; Jasmine Paolini leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Makarska Open 125 - Makarska in 2023 on clay. On hard courts Paolini leads 2–0. Paolini has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 6 sets to Sramkova's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Miami Open - Miami (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Sramkova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Rebecca Sramkova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 14/26 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 17/45 | 41% | 13/32 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 12/33 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 6/12 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 3/8 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 14/21 | 53% | 8/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 3, Sramkova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Sramkova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 20, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Nov 20, 2024
Billie Jean King Cup, Finals
H Hard · Rubber 2
Jun 10, 2023
Makarska Open 125 - Makarska
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Paolini | Sramkova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jasmine Paolini | Rebecca Sramkova | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Sramkova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | +35.3% | -46.9% |
| Units P/L | +2.12u | -3.28u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Sramkova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (25% vs Sramkova's 0%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Sramkova |
|---|---|---|
| Solana Sierra | L 63 46 36 | L 26 46 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 75 26 57 | L 46 46 |
| Yue Yuan | W 36 64 63 | L 64 57 16 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 16 | L 64 36 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Anna Blinkova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Janice Tjen
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Teodora Kostovic
Wimbledon
Jun 24
Viktoria Hruncakova
Wimbledon
Jun 23
Iva Primorac
W100 Zagreb · 1st Round
Jun 10
Akasha Urhobo
Makarska Open - Makarska · 1st Round
Jun 4
Julia Grabher
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 32–45 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Sramkova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 38% |
| Sets won | 53% | 43% |
| Games won | 52% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Sramkova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Sramkova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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