Jasmine Paolini vs Moyuka UchijimaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8w2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇯🇵Moyuka Uchijima
#99 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
4wJasmine Paolini and Moyuka Uchijima have met 2 times since 2023; Jasmine Paolini leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Zhengzhou Open - Zhengzhou in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Paolini leads 2–0. Paolini has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 4 sets to Uchijima's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Billie Jean King Cup, Finals (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Uchijima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Moyuka Uchijima | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 14/26 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 17/45 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 12/33 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 6/12 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 3/8 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 14/21 | 76% | 16/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 2, Uchijima 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Uchijima
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Nov 16, 2024
Billie Jean King Cup, Finals
H Hard · Rubber 2
Oct 9, 2023
Zhengzhou Open - Zhengzhou
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Paolini | Uchijima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jasmine Paolini | Moyuka Uchijima | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 3 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 3.05 |
| ROI % | +35.3% | -21.9% |
| Units P/L | +2.12u | -1.97u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 8 shared opponents, both Paolini and Uchijima posted a 38% win rate.
| Opponent | Paolini | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 16 | L 36 36 |
| Cristina Bucsa | L 57 46 | W 63 64 |
| Solana Sierra | L 63 46 36 | W 63 61 |
| Elise Mertens | L 64 67 36 | L 36 16 |
| Katie Boulter | W 06 63 63 | L 26 16 |
| Coco Gauff | L 36 26 | L 16 06 |
| Sofia Kenin | W 63 60 | L 16 36 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 46 76 64 | W 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Cristina Bucsa
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Maddison Inglis
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · Quarterfinals
Jul 30
Hayu Kinoshita
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Miho Kuramochi
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 1st Round
Jul 29
Anna Bondar
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 20
Elina Avanesyan
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Irene Burillo
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–45 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 49% |
| Sets won | 53% | 50% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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