Jasmine Paolini vs Moyuka UchijimaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇯🇵Moyuka Uchijima
#121 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
4Jasmine Paolini and Moyuka Uchijima have met 2 times since 2023; Jasmine Paolini leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Zhengzhou Open - Zhengzhou in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Paolini leads 2–0. Paolini has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 4 sets to Uchijima's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Billie Jean King Cup, Finals (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Uchijima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Moyuka Uchijima | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 10/20 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 15/39 | 37% | 19/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 10/30 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 3/9 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 14% | 1/7 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 10/18 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 2, Uchijima 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Uchijima
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Nov 16, 2024
Billie Jean King Cup, Finals
H Hard · Rubber 2
Oct 9, 2023
Zhengzhou Open - Zhengzhou
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | 2.70 |
| ROI % | -36.5% | -37.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.46u | -4.46u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | POR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Uchijima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Paolini's 38%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Magdalena Frech | W 62 63 | L |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 36 | L 62 46 26 |
| Veronika Erjavec | W 63 36 64 | W 76 63 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 16 | L 36 36 |
| Cristina Bucsa | L 57 46 | W 63 64 |
| Himeno Sakatsume | W 63 61 | W 62 64 |
| Solana Sierra | L 63 46 36 | W 63 61 |
| Elise Mertens | L 64 67 36 | L 36 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Magdalena Frech
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Zhuoxuan Bai
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round
Oct 6
Lanlana Tararudee
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 21
Lucie Havlickova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Polona Hercog
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Harriet Dart
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Cristina Bucsa
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–52 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 50% |
| Sets won | 48% | 51% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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