Jasmine Paolini vs Magdalena FrechPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8w3 meetings · sets 4–2
🇵🇱Magdalena Frech
#37 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Jasmine Paolini and Magdalena Frech have met 3 times since 2023; Jasmine Paolini leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid in 2023 on clay. On hard courts Paolini leads 2–0. Paolini has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 4 sets to Frech's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Frech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Magdalena Frech | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 14/26 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 17/45 | 36% | 14/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 12/33 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 6/12 | 65% | 17/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 3/8 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 14/21 | 50% | 10/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 2, Frech 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Frech
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 21, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 21, 2023
Tennis in the Land - Cleveland
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 26, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Paolini | Frech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jasmine Paolini | Magdalena Frech | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 40% | 4/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 3.40 |
| ROI % | +35.3% | -17.8% |
| Units P/L | +2.12u | -2.13u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | — | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Paolini and Frech posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Paolini | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 26 | L 46 67 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 75 26 57 | W 61 63 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 26 36 | L 63 36 26 |
| Leolia Jeanjean | W 67 62 64 | W 75 63 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 46 63 | L 06 63 46 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | W 61 62 | W 67 64 76 |
| Solana Sierra | L 63 46 36 | L 26 46 |
| Talia Gibson | L 57 62 16 | W 76 63 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 36 62 64 | L 46 67 |
| Cristina Bucsa | L 57 46 | L 16 64 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Jelena Ostapenko
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Antonia Ruzic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jessica Pegula
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Leolia Jeanjean
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Ann Li
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Anna Kalinskaya
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–45 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 41% |
| Sets won | 53% | 43% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.