Jasmine Paolini vs Magdalena FrechPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–2
🇵🇱Magdalena Frech
#56 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Jasmine Paolini and Magdalena Frech have met 3 times since 2023; Jasmine Paolini leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid in 2023 on clay. On hard courts Paolini leads 2–0. Paolini has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 4 sets to Frech's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Frech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Magdalena Frech | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 10/20 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 15/39 | 34% | 15/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 10/30 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 3/9 | 65% | 17/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 14% | 1/7 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 10/18 | 57% | 13/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 2, Frech 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Frech
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 21, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 21, 2023
Tennis in the Land - Cleveland
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 26, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | 3.10 |
| ROI % | -36.5% | -15.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.46u | -2.10u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 8,184 mi · 13,171 km |
| Route | ROU | UKR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Frech has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Paolini's 40%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Iva Jovic | L 26 67 | L 26 16 |
| Veronika Erjavec | W 63 36 64 | W 61 61 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 26 | L 46 67 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 75 26 57 | W 61 63 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 26 36 | L 63 36 26 |
| Leolia Jeanjean | W 67 62 64 | W 75 63 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 46 63 | L 06 63 46 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | W 61 62 | W 67 64 76 |
| Solana Sierra | L 63 46 36 | L 26 46 |
| Talia Gibson | L 57 62 16 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Aoi Ito
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Moyuka Uchijima
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elsa Jacquemot
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Iva Jovic
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Caroline Dolehide
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Nao Hibino
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Iva Jovic
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–44 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 43% |
| Sets won | 48% | 46% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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