Jasmine Paolini vs Magda LinettePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8w4 meetings · sets 5–4
🇵🇱Magda Linette
#78 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed
Jasmine Paolini and Magda Linette have met 4 times since 2023; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Rothesay Classic - Birmingham in 2023 on grass. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 5 sets to Linette's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Miami Open - Miami (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Linette | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Magda Linette | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 14/26 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 10% | 2/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 17/45 | 38% | 16/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 12/33 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 6/12 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 3/8 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 93% | 14/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 14/21 | 47% | 7/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 2, Linette 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Linette
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 25, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 30, 2024
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jul 29, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jun 19, 2023
Rothesay Classic - Birmingham
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Paolini | Linette | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jasmine Paolini | Magda Linette | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 3 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 2.47 |
| ROI % | +35.3% | -34.2% |
| Units P/L | +2.12u | -3.42u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | — | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Paolini and Linette posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Paolini | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Iva Jovic | L 26 67 | L 36 57 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 36 26 | L 46 06 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 46 63 | L 36 67 |
| Robin Montgomery | W 06 64 75 | W 64 63 |
| Tatjana Maria | L 46 36 | L 06 36 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 26 26 | W 64 62 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 61 62 | L 46 46 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 75 26 57 | W 62 26 62 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 46 76 64 | W 61 75 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 46 36 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Iva Jovic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Carol Zhao
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Leylah Fernandez
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Mai Hontama
Athens Open - Athens · 1st Round
Jul 13
Mirra Andreeva
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Maja Chwalinska
Boodles Tennis Challenge · -
Jun 26
Barbora Krejcikova
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Semifinals
Jun 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–45 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 50% |
| Sets won | 53% | 44% |
| Games won | 52% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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