Jasmine Paolini vs Lucrezia StefaniniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇮🇹Lucrezia Stefanini
#106 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Jasmine Paolini and Lucrezia Stefanini have met 2 times since 2021; Jasmine Paolini leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Courmayeur Ladies Open - Courmayeur in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Paolini leads 2–0. Paolini has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 4 sets to Stefanini's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Stefanini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Lucrezia Stefanini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 10/20 | 68% | 27/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 28% | 8/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 15/39 | 30% | 21/69 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 10/30 | 52% | 16/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 3/9 | 56% | 19/34 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 14% | 1/7 | 40% | 6/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 94% | 34/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 10/18 | 75% | 27/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 2, Stefanini 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Stefanini
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 59% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 536 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jasmine Paolini.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 2, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 28, 2021
Courmayeur Ladies Open - Courmayeur
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Stefanini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 16–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -36.5% | +28.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.46u | +6.23u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Stefanini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 9 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | BRA → GER → ESP |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Stefanini's 40%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Stefanini |
|---|---|---|
| Leolia Jeanjean | W 67 62 64 | L 46 61 16 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 75 63 | W 63 46 61 |
| Tatjana Maria | L 46 36 | L 16 06 |
| Viktorija Golubic | W 76 64 | W 60 57 75 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 75 26 57 | L 06 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Ayla Aksu
Samsun Open - Samsun · Final
Oct 11
Anna Blinkova
Samsun Open - Samsun · Semifinals
Oct 10
Polina Iatcenko
Samsun Open - Samsun · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Noma Noha Akugue
Samsun Open - Samsun · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Carole Monnet
Samsun Open - Samsun · 1st Round
Oct 6
Leolia Jeanjean
Adana Open - Adana · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Cagla Buyukakcay
Adana Open - Adana · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Elena Ruxandra Bertea
Adana Open - Adana · 1st Round
Sep 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–69 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Stefanini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 58% |
| Sets won | 48% | 55% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Stefanini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Stefanini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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